Thirty Thousand Votes and Abbott's Gone.
Whichever way you want to look at the result of the recent Federal election, one argument that doesn't stack up is that this is some kind of landslide for the Coalition. That's how the election is being rewritten — but the figures don't support the story.
(snip)
So what? There have always been marginal seats. MPs and governments have learnt to live with them. So what's the big deal?
Yes, there have been marginal seats, but never in quite the quantity before, and never at a time when the electorate is in such a state of flux.
It also places a huge question mark over going to a double dissolution mid term when the Government has such a tenuous grip on the Treasury benches. Hawke tried it in 1984 and we came within a bee's dick of Andrew Peacock as Prime Minister.
https://newmatilda.com/2013/09/24/thirty-thousand-votes-and-abbotts-gone
And add to that today's Morgan Poll results, showing that the LNP has had the shortest honeymoon period on record. Polling last weekend showed Labor's 2-party preferred vote at 49.5% and the Coalition's at 50.5%.
http://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll
Given the extremist policies that Abbott's already begun to implement, it's hardly surprising that all but the rusted-on conservatives are already getting nervous.
Not to mention the fact Abbott seems to be in hiding somewhere - no press conferences, no interviews, not even sightings of him riding his bike. The latest Twitter hashtag for him is #Dear Leader - looks like we'll only see carefully orchestrated public sightings where the faithful can wave banners and cheer on command.
Of course, he still has Murdoch in his corner, and the MSM grovelling at his feet, but can he continue to fool most of the people all of the time? That's what it will take to prevent him becoming #1 Term Tony.