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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Sun Feb 7, 2021, 08:03 AM Feb 2021

How many US House seats Democrats will lose or gain in 2022 due to redistricting?

Democrats will lose-
1)RI(Cicilline-D) runs for Governor.
2)MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D) both are going to be placed in the same district.
3)OH(Ryan-D) runs for US Senator.
4)PA(Wild-D)
Democrats will gain
1)AZ-10
2)CO-8
3)NC-14
4)OR-6
5)FL-28
6)FL-29
7)TX-37
Republicans will lose-
1)NY(Katko-R)
2)IL(Davis-R)
3)WV(Mooney-R)
4)CA(Steel-R)
5)AL(Brooks-R) runs for the US Senate to replace Shelby-R.
6)MN(Emmer-R)
Republicans will gain
1)MT-2
2)TX-38
3)TX-39


Other Districts Democrats will gain
1)CA-21(Valadao-R)
2)CA-25(Garcia-R)
3)CA-39(Kim-R)
4)NY-22(Tenney-R)
Other Districts Democrats will lose
1)IL-14(Underwood-D)
2)IA-3(Axne-D)runs for the US Senate against Grassley-R.
3)MN-2(Craig-D)
4)NJ-7(Malinowski-D)
5)PA-17(Lamb-D)
6)VA-7(Spanberger-D)

Democrats will have a net gain of 1 seat.







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How many US House seats Democrats will lose or gain in 2022 due to redistricting? (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Feb 2021 OP
very optimistic. i hope you are right rampartc Feb 2021 #1
If we were to just look at states that are gaining or losing a US House seat in the 2021/2022. nkpolitics1212 Feb 2021 #3
We will win more than we lose. The GOP did not spend almost 30 years gerrymandering ... marble falls Feb 2021 #2
Democratic held US House seats likely to go Republican. nkpolitics1212 Feb 2021 #4

rampartc

(5,835 posts)
1. very optimistic. i hope you are right
Sun Feb 7, 2021, 08:12 AM
Feb 2021

as usual repubs will control redistricting in most states. we underestimate the frenzy of their fundy/q base.

we will be lucky to retain a majority.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
3. If we were to just look at states that are gaining or losing a US House seat in the 2021/2022.
Sun Feb 7, 2021, 09:02 AM
Feb 2021

States losing a Congressional District.
AL(-1R) one of the Republican US House Members from AL- runs for Shelby's US Senate seat.
CA(-1R)-2R
IL(-1R)-3R
MI(-1D)
MN(-1D)-2D
NY(-1R)-4R
OH(-1D)-3R
PA(-1D)-4D
RI(-1D)-5D
WV(-1R)-5R
Democrats will lose 5 seats, Republicans will lose 5 seats.
States gaining a Congressional District.
TX(+3) +2R/+1D (-3R/-4D)
FL(+2) +1R/+1D (-2R/-3D)
NC(+1)+1D(-2R/-2D)
AZ(+1)+1D(-2R/-1D)
CO(+1)+1D(-2R/0D
OR(+1)+1D(-2R/+1D)
MT(+1)+1R(+1R/+1D)

Which political party is going to win AZ-10,CO-8,NC-14, and OR-6?
Democrats will win one new Congressional District in FL and TX?
MT-2 will be a Republican pickup.



marble falls

(62,403 posts)
2. We will win more than we lose. The GOP did not spend almost 30 years gerrymandering ...
Sun Feb 7, 2021, 08:46 AM
Feb 2021

... just pick off one House seat.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
4. Democratic held US House seats likely to go Republican.
Sun Feb 7, 2021, 10:15 AM
Feb 2021

1)AZ-1(O'Halleron-D)+1R
2)GA-7(Bordeaux-D)+2R
4)IL-14(Underwood-D) and IL-17(Bustos-D) +3R
5)IA-3(Axne-D) +4R
7)MI-8 and MI-11(Slotkin-D and Stevens-D) +5R
9)MN-2 and MN-3(Craig-D and Phillips-D) +6R
10)NV-3(Lee-D)+7R
11)NJ-7(Malinowski-D) +8R
12)OH-13(Ryan-D)
15)PA-7, PA-8 and PA-17(Wild-D, Cartwright-D and Lamb-D) +10R
16)RI-2(Cicillline-D or Langevin-D)
18)TX-7, TX-15(Fletcher-D, Gonzalez-D)+12R
19)VA-7(Spanberger-D)+13R
20)WA-8(Schrier-D)+14R
21)WI-3(Kind-D)+15R
Republican held US House seats likely to be lost.
1)AL-5(Brooks-R)+14R
2)CA-48(Steel-R)+13R
3)NY-22(Tenney-R)+12R
4)WV-2(Mooney-R)+11R
New Congressional Districts
AZ-10)+1D/-20D
CO-8)+1D/-19D
FL-28 and FL-29)+2D/-17D
MT-2)+1D/-16D
NC-14)+1D/-15D
OR-6)+1D/-14D
TX-37,TX-38, and TX-39)+3D/-11D

Democrats are going to have a net loss of at least 11 seats in the US House.








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