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flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:58 PM Jun 2016

A recent thread sort of asked why we can't have cogent discussions about guns.

It's largely because the two sides of the issue live in separate universes with separate rules of logic and laws of physics.

Beyond the fact that people who hang out in places like the gungeon are deeply invested in the issue of guns and are arguably on the fringe of gun owners as a whole the two sides talk past each other instead of to each other. I found a characterization of this split in outlook in a book I'm reading about law suits and the gun industry. The book is ostensibly neutral but I haven't read enough to make a judgement on that and it's an uphill slog, like reading a phone book, fact filled but extremely sleep inducing.

In chapter one the author discusses the problem with studies and statistics. Criminologists and Medical professionals approach the topic from two distinctly different places and, like us, talk past each other. Criminologists see gun violence as a criminal issue. After all, Crime is in the name, right? Medical researchers see it as a vector issue. Medical researchers look at all injuries involving guns, criminologists see only crime related injuries. That means that accidents and suicides are given short shrift by criminologists.

Putting this in an allegory about the Zika virus it works out like this:

Medical researchers look at microcephaly and conclude that it is caused by the Zika virus, analogous to looking at wounds and concluding that guns caused them. Criminologist would look at microcephaly and see that Zika is spread by mosquitoes analogous to seeing wounds and concluding that a criminal used a gun.

The results are that the medical perspective is to control or defeat the vector; develop a vaccine or restrict exposure to the virus, analogous to passing restrictions on access to guns while criminologists tend to control mosquitoes thru insecticides and such analogous to strictly enforcing laws and harsh sentencing.

The problem I see with the criminologist outlook is that it doesn't address suicide and accidents, analogous to ignoring sexual transmission of Zika. We can't prevent people from having sex so why try addressing it (they'll just use another method of suicide) and you can't legislate stupid out of existence so why try?

Both approaches have merit but the two sides of the gun issue can't see or recognize that. There's also the perceived need to 'win' as if decreasing gun violence is a zero sum game, one side having to lose for the other to win. The truth is that both sides of the issue would benefit from a reduction in violence involving guns regardless of which model is applied.

And of course, some people want to make it personal and just pick a fight . . .

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A recent thread sort of asked why we can't have cogent discussions about guns. (Original Post) flamin lib Jun 2016 OP
Recommended. My addition would be the words guillaumeb Jun 2016 #1
Yes, people will reject you if you attribute to them things they have not said and do not believe. Nuclear Unicorn Jun 2016 #14
Universes... beevul Jun 2016 #2
"separate universes with separate rules of logic..." jmg257 Jun 2016 #3
We can dismiss your argument... theatre goon Jun 2016 #4
That's not a derogatory remark, simply saying that people who hang out in flamin lib Jun 2016 #5
Sure, keep moving those goalposts. theatre goon Jun 2016 #6
And then there are some people . . . nt flamin lib Jun 2016 #7
What if you hang out in discussion groups TeddyR Jun 2016 #10
who is also a crappy musician gejohnston Jun 2016 #13
You called me fringe Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #12
Noting the same "like this one." I do seem pretty leftist, now that you bring it up. Eleanors38 Jun 2016 #20
The NRA membership may be only 3% of gun owners, benEzra Jun 2016 #52
Yes, I saw that Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #11
Some of them do seem to believe... theatre goon Jun 2016 #15
What you're describing... beevul Jun 2016 #17
Wonder how much of that Skinner will tolerate with his renewed rules of civility? DonP Jun 2016 #18
Uh huh. beevul Jun 2016 #19
Add ammosexuals to the list Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #27
Do you think that juries sarisataka Jun 2016 #28
It would be surprising Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #29
An appeals process means those ignoring the rules will be recognized... beevul Jun 2016 #30
I hope so Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #31
I also note this singling out of the NRA in the context of pre-banned RW sources... Eleanors38 Jun 2016 #22
Reminds me of an incident in H.S. I was a big civil rights supporter, a redneck friend wasn't... Eleanors38 Jun 2016 #21
That reminds me of "bailing out" my daughter in High School DonP Jun 2016 #24
Heh-heh. Those were the good ol' days. (Afraid it sounds like an old tale, too.) Eleanors38 Jun 2016 #25
She's 40 now and teaches English Lit at Chicago's top High School DonP Jun 2016 #26
He best legends are family legends. Eleanors38 Jun 2016 #34
Bansalot Puha Ekapi Jun 2016 #23
The OP is a rather weak dancer IMO. pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #36
Bear in mind this is originating from a universe where words have... Marengo Jun 2016 #39
K&R - great post! Kang Colby Jun 2016 #8
Wonder why the OP never responded to your question about the book he was reading. pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #32
Reminds me of of another poster Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #33
Guess we got our answer re. why we can't have cogent discussions, eh? pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #35
I would use a stronger term Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #37
I can't imagine the answer to be so awkward or revealing as to trigger... Marengo Jun 2016 #40
I could kick at your analogies a bit, but that'd be nitpicking. Decoy of Fenris Jun 2016 #9
Oh, look. It's another "It's hard to have a civil discussion because you 'people' suck" thread. Nuclear Unicorn Jun 2016 #16
What is the name of the book? Duckhunter935 Jun 2016 #38
I would also like to know the title of this book... Marengo Jun 2016 #41
Seems like "Suing the Gun industry" by Timothy D. Lytton jmg257 Jun 2016 #42
Sorry to be so late but that's the book. flamin lib Jun 2016 #43
Thanks for the heads up - and about the "sleep inducing". Cheers! nt jmg257 Jun 2016 #44
Must say.....not surprised that you'd be drawn to a book with that title. pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #45
Kleck couldn't research his way out of a paper bag with a road map and a razor blade.nt flamin lib Jun 2016 #46
Would you say that... Puha Ekapi Jun 2016 #47
There are several issues with Klecks methods. flamin lib Jun 2016 #49
just a few things gejohnston Jun 2016 #51
Sorry, GE, but you are positively, absolutely WRONG on every point. nt flamin lib Jun 2016 #54
Asserted without evidence -- dismissed without evidence. NT pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #57
You talking to me or to GE? flamin lib Jun 2016 #59
"Either way you bring NOTHING to the conversation. pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #61
Mr. Johnston did a good job on slapping your nonsense down.....but more points: pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #55
Yeah and suppressors will save your hearing. Naaa, they just make your gun longer flamin lib Jun 2016 #60
That nonsense again? Straw Man Jun 2016 #62
After all the complaining about a lack of cogent discussion... Marengo Jun 2016 #64
From that right-wing CDC: (Ooooooops!) pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #56
But the CDC is banned from doing research regarding guns! theatre goon Jun 2016 #63
No........you don't need the sarcasm tag. pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #65
LOL - even though pro-control academics have reached the same conclusions re. DGU's. pablo_marmol Jun 2016 #48
See #47. nt flamin lib Jun 2016 #50
I still have yet to see many on the gun control side acknowledge the rarity of rifle misuse, benEzra Jun 2016 #53
Part of the reason is faith-promoting rumor like the following-note who the author is: friendly_iconoclast Jun 2016 #58

guillaumeb

(42,649 posts)
1. Recommended. My addition would be the words
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:07 PM
Jun 2016

"separate historical memory" to your excellent observation.

People tend to "remember" things that support what they wish to believe. As a so-called "gun controller", anytime I say something in this forum the "guns for (nearly) everyone" people will filter what I say through their own beliefs and reject what I say. As well as reject any sources that I produce to support my contentions. Similar to a debate over religion.

Nuclear Unicorn

(19,497 posts)
14. Yes, people will reject you if you attribute to them things they have not said and do not believe.
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 05:48 AM
Jun 2016
 

beevul

(12,194 posts)
2. Universes...
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:35 PM
Jun 2016
It's largely because the two sides of the issue live in separate universes with separate rules of logic and laws of physics.


But only one side lives in the universe where people shouldn't sue ford or jim beam because someone drove drunk and killed someone, therefore nobody should be suing gun makers for equally third party criminal misuse of a legal product.

And only one side lives in the universe where the group isn't held responsible for the criminal actions of the individual.

I could be wrong, but the universe I describe, doesn't appear to be the one you reside in.

The problem I see with the criminologist outlook is that it doesn't address suicide and accidents, analogous to ignoring sexual transmission of Zika.


It isn't intended to. Those are the proper purview of mental health care (assuming one presumes they have a controlling interest in the lives of others, I don't) and education.

Of course, 'mental health' care has been branded by people in one of those universes, seemingly yours, as an nra talking point...

There's also the perceived need to 'win' as if decreasing gun violence is a zero sum game, one side having to lose for the other to win.


The problem with that is, that to gun banners, it is a zero sum game , and you know it.

jmg257

(11,996 posts)
3. "separate universes with separate rules of logic..."
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:41 PM
Jun 2016

Good post.

Other recent posts reminded me of the gun culture aspects

Some people grow up in the gun culture with no issues, well accustomed to havign guns around for hunting, shooting, defense, collecting, etc. They, and even non-gun owners around the culture, don't usually see themselves (or guns) as 'the problem'.

People who are against guns often seem to have not had the same experiences, so may not see or understand the attachments people have to their...lifestyles, associated with guns. They would likely see no viable need or purpose in most people owning them.


Your "Safety feature post is a good thread in that it talked about basically simple things that could help make guns safer, without asking for people to have to give up something(s) that for whatever reasons they feel are important to them.

 

theatre goon

(87 posts)
4. We can dismiss your argument...
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 03:46 PM
Jun 2016

...such as it is, very early:

Beyond the fact that people who hang out in places like the gungeon are deeply invested in the issue of guns and are arguably on the fringe of gun owners as a whole the two sides talk past each other instead of to each other.

Emphasis added.

As soon as you engage in ad hominem attacks, the rest can be safely dismissed, as you are clearly not attempting to engage in honest debate.

Perhaps, if you truly are interested in engaging in a cogent discussion about guns, you should dispense with the logical fallacies and personal attacks. Until such a time, screeds like this are safely dismissed as the empty rhetoric that they are.

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
5. That's not a derogatory remark, simply saying that people who hang out in
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 04:04 PM
Jun 2016

discussion groups like this one and belong to the NRA with a membership of only 3% of gun owners are much more deeply invested in gun rights than the majority of gun owners.

Would periphery be a better term? TomAto tomAHto?

A good example of why we can't talk. Imagined slight where none exists.

And then there are just some people . . .

 

theatre goon

(87 posts)
6. Sure, keep moving those goalposts.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 04:12 PM
Jun 2016

It worked out so well for Katie Couric -- by all means, carry on.

You engage in personal insult, then claim it's only an "imagined slight." This is just one of many examples why those who want to discuss the issue in honest and meaningful terms dismiss attempts at derailment such as yours.

I will reiterate, then move on -- you engaged in personal attacks, and therefore your attempt at discussion has been shown to be neither honest nor constructive. That being the case, it is a waste of time trying to engage you in meaningful discussion. Perhaps in the future you can engage in a discussion without such tactics.

 

TeddyR

(2,493 posts)
10. What if you hang out in discussion groups
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 09:16 PM
Jun 2016

Like this one but don't belong to the NRA? I think the 2d Amendment protects private ownership of firearms but don't like the NRA because of assholes like Ted Nugent (who is also a crappy musician).

 

Eleanors38

(18,318 posts)
20. Noting the same "like this one." I do seem pretty leftist, now that you bring it up.
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 01:36 PM
Jun 2016

Most people who are regulars here seem to be of the FDR/LBJ stripe, probably unlike a large swath of people, including those on DU

The reason why good discussion cannot occur on the politics of guns is because most discussion from a "control" perspective are prohibitionist in outlook, and in the language that outlook employs; that the "other side" is morally reprehensible; that any and all attacks and proposals are thereby justified. This is abundantly clear to virtually anyone who drops in to see the... "discussion."

Most here expect and rather good-naturedly deal with the vast categories of spew, emit and bile brought here. (I think the GunzIssue must be an agreed-upon glory hole where any and all garbage can be brought in within full view of everyone, up to and including the Ads.). But after several years of this, two perhaps unexpected results have occurred:

1). The "Gungeon" is by any reasonable measure where pro-2A argument is sound, tight, well-documented and rather clever.

2). The control/ban side has diminished. Even its allies have to some extent walked away from the argument -- perhaps even the issue -- after realizing it is grandly miscast and can have no practical positive impact on social policy.

For generations we progressives have toiled, sometimes unsuccessfully, to resolve the many social ills of our society, and all we get is some gun-control tee??

benEzra

(12,148 posts)
52. The NRA membership may be only 3% of gun owners,
Sat Jun 11, 2016, 11:47 PM
Jun 2016

but owners of "assault weapons", over-10-round rifles/handguns, and over-5-round shotguns probably constitute 40-50% of gun owners, all told. Throw in owners of under-10-round handguns, and owners of pump-actions and other guns the gun control lobby would like to ban, and you rope in most of us. And if you drop that magazine limit to 7 as Bloomberg wants, you grab almost all handgun owners and a whole slew of additional rifle owners.

Your average semiauto-rifle or handgun owner may not be involved in the political side of the issue yet, but Bloomberg et al are trying very hard to make them involved.

I'm not an NRA member, but I have several guns in my gun safe that your side of the debate desperately wants to criminalize my ownership of, and I will energetically oppose that.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
11. Yes, I saw that
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 10:09 PM
Jun 2016

Hard to have a civil discussion when one starts with ad hominem attacks and insults directed a DU members.

 

theatre goon

(87 posts)
15. Some of them do seem to believe...
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 05:59 AM
Jun 2016

...that it's only a civil discussion if they are able to toss around personal attacks and falsehoods with impunity. Pointing out their falsehoods and personal attacks aren't allowed -- that's just rude, or something.

 

beevul

(12,194 posts)
17. What you're describing...
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 12:59 PM
Jun 2016
...toss around personal attacks and falsehoods with impunity. Pointing out their falsehoods and personal attacks aren't allowed -- that's just rude, or something.


What you're describing, is the defacto SOP for bansalot.
 

DonP

(6,185 posts)
18. Wonder how much of that Skinner will tolerate with his renewed rules of civility?
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 01:10 PM
Jun 2016

In the past he's always pointed out to the whiners that there are "Real" Dems that own guns and feel differently about them and basically, if they don't like the Gungeon, put it on ignore or stay out.

If he sticks to what they are saying, that whole penis frame of reference may be denied to them.

 

beevul

(12,194 posts)
19. Uh huh.
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 01:15 PM
Jun 2016
If he sticks to what they are saying, that whole penis frame of reference may be denied to them.


Yeah, I'm thinking that 'delicate flowers' and 'glib sociopaths' and 'murder supporters' and the like will be a thing of the past, as well as a few controllers that wont be able to control themselves enough to cease using such terms.

sarisataka

(21,221 posts)
28. Do you think that juries
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 07:11 PM
Jun 2016

Will start treating that like the homophobic slur that it is? I would like to think so but we'll have to see.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
29. It would be surprising
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 07:21 PM
Jun 2016

Over many years, I have found that some insults and slurs are accepted. I really hope Skinner will follow through on that and they will be not allowed.

 

beevul

(12,194 posts)
30. An appeals process means those ignoring the rules will be recognized...
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 07:25 PM
Jun 2016

An appeals process means those ignoring the rules will be recognized for what they're doing.

And presumably dealt with accordingly if it continues.

 

Eleanors38

(18,318 posts)
22. I also note this singling out of the NRA in the context of pre-banned RW sources...
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 01:57 PM
Jun 2016

We need go back no further than the "Under the Gun" fiasco when folks complained that the source -- which broke the story -- was RW. Yeah, well, when most of MSM is and has been all-in for gun control for the last 40 years, do you expect CBS, WaPo, the NYT, AP, etc. to break it??! At least some (by no means all) of these entities begrudgingly acknowledged the corrupt journalistic ethic in the "documentary's" production. But don't expect even standard, but conceivably pro-2A, research to make it past editorial gate-keepers.

 

Eleanors38

(18,318 posts)
21. Reminds me of an incident in H.S. I was a big civil rights supporter, a redneck friend wasn't...
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 01:45 PM
Jun 2016

One day he quietly and politely pulled me to the side and, apologizing in advance, asked:. "Why are you such a n----- - lover?" Of course, I couched my answers in the most respectul manner which I could, given the respectful nature of the inquiry. Such are the pains of diplomacy.

 

DonP

(6,185 posts)
24. That reminds me of "bailing out" my daughter in High School
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 03:20 PM
Jun 2016

She invited her best friend from grammar school to a high school dance as a sophomore. He's a really nice Filipino kid.

Monday after the dance, one of the jocks gets in her face in the hallway and tells her real loudly; "Don't ever bring another N- to a dance here again!"

My skinny little kid brings a punch all the way from the floor and knocks football boy out cold.

Next day I'm in the Superintendent's office with the kid she hit, his parents, the disciplinary dean and I'm being told she'll have a 3 day suspension for "fighting" and have to apologize to him.

I said; "it wasn't much of a fight this racist pig never got a punch in". "What do you mean racist?"

Then my daughter told them what the kid said and his parents got real sheepish looking real fast. At that point everybody in the room knew where he heard that word in the first place.

I asked if they really wanted to suspend her for this, or if he'd rather just have the local news people crawling all over his office and school to look into the blatant racism in their athletic program?

The decided to give the football star detention and probation and let her go with a warning ... not to beat up big, strong football players any more.

 

DonP

(6,185 posts)
26. She's 40 now and teaches English Lit at Chicago's top High School
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 06:19 PM
Jun 2016

But she's still very proud of punching that kid and my standing behind her and the story has made the rounds of her Roller Derby friends and her 2 boys.

Puha Ekapi

(594 posts)
23. Bansalot
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 02:54 PM
Jun 2016

is simply a school restroom that a handful of teenagers use to scribble offcolor, rude and stupid messages on the walls. There really is nothing to discuss over there

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
36. The OP is a rather weak dancer IMO.
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 01:16 AM
Jun 2016
Would periphery be a better term? TomAto tomAHto?

Riiiiiiiight. Pretending the word 'fringe' doesn't carry a negative connotation. Typical passive-aggressive Controller cowardice.

Refused to respond to a reasonable and respectfully tendered request for the name of the book he was reading as well. Y'know - the one that was "ostensibly neutral".
 

Marengo

(3,477 posts)
39. Bear in mind this is originating from a universe where words have...
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 07:38 AM
Jun 2016

Rather fluid definitions depending on the circumstances.

 

Kang Colby

(1,941 posts)
8. K&R - great post!
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:10 PM
Jun 2016

This is probably the most interesting and well thought out post I've ever read by someone who generally favors more gun control.

Would you be willing to provide the name of the book? I would like to order a copy.

Thanks flamin. Excellent post.

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
35. Guess we got our answer re. why we can't have cogent discussions, eh?
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 01:11 AM
Jun 2016

I personally think that the OP was storytelling about actually reading a book......why else would he/she be unwilling to respond to the (politely tendered) question.

 

Marengo

(3,477 posts)
40. I can't imagine the answer to be so awkward or revealing as to trigger...
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 07:58 AM
Jun 2016

An avoidance response. But, at this point, not sure what else to think.

 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
9. I could kick at your analogies a bit, but that'd be nitpicking.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 09:13 PM
Jun 2016

Overall, well-written.


Eh... I had a paragraph written, but it boiled down to "Your post is missing many details, but correct overall." Ain't my style to pick a fight where there's no fight to be picked though, so I'll leave it at "Well-written".

Nuclear Unicorn

(19,497 posts)
16. Oh, look. It's another "It's hard to have a civil discussion because you 'people' suck" thread.
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 06:03 AM
Jun 2016
Beyond the fact that people who hang out in places like the gungeon are deeply invested in the issue of guns and are arguably on the fringe of gun owners as a whole

If you're not making any traction consider the fact that even as you attempt to sound scholarly and erudite you're still unable and/or unwilling to refrain from taking a slap at the people you profess to want to reach.

If you slap someone every time you reach out to them they very naturally and wisely begin to see every extension of your hand as a threat.


Oh, and diseases are a poor choice of metaphor.

Unless you're insinuating you want to eradicate carriers you are overlooking the fact that behind every shooting whether accidental, suicidal, defensive or criminal is a series of deliberate human choices. That is what we are confronting.
 

Marengo

(3,477 posts)
41. I would also like to know the title of this book...
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 11:53 AM
Jun 2016

I find it curious that you would not reference the title in your OP, and as of yet have not answered the question now posed several times.

jmg257

(11,996 posts)
42. Seems like "Suing the Gun industry" by Timothy D. Lytton
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 12:14 PM
Jun 2016
https://www.press.umich.edu/pdf/0472115103-intro.pdf

Interetsing - talks openly about the threat to the gun industry from the many lawsuits, and the attempts to legislate from the bench where the NRA isn't as effective.

Also contrasts the criminologists vs. epidemiological approach as described in the OP.

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
43. Sorry to be so late but that's the book.
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 01:59 PM
Jun 2016

Was written before the PLCAA but has ab addendum I think.

Very sleep inducing. I suggest the Kindle version and follow the links to later chapters as the topics are discussed.

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
45. Must say.....not surprised that you'd be drawn to a book with that title.
Fri Jun 10, 2016, 07:56 PM
Jun 2016

And heaven forbid you read an award-winning book by an honest, bona-fide liberal that is less sleep-inducing, more relevant and comprehensive and broader in scope.

https://www.amazon.com/Targeting-Guns-Firearms-Control-Institutions/dp/0202305694/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1465605931&sr=1-1&keywords=targeting+guns

Puha Ekapi

(594 posts)
47. Would you say that...
Sat Jun 11, 2016, 11:31 AM
Jun 2016

...because his conclusions don't agree with your agenda, or is there truly a flaw in his research methodology?

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
49. There are several issues with Klecks methods.
Sat Jun 11, 2016, 02:39 PM
Jun 2016

1. He randomly surveyed 5000 phone numbers. The best information we have is that only 34% of households have guns, so 66% of his sample is flawed.

2. He had no way of verifying the data gathered; no police reports, no secondary witnesses, nothing. He just took their word for it.

3. He asked a question that guaranteed a very high false positive rate of response. People who own guns have a vested interest in defending that ownership, so when asked 'did you use your gun for self defense in the last 12 months' a lot of people said yes whether they did or not. A very high false negative response can be had by asking 'have you watched internet porn in the last year'. Anecdotal evidence for this high false positive came when the study was repeated but for only verified gun owners, one respondent reported using his/her gun 50 times in the last year.

4. He failed to correct for 'telescoping'. Did the respondents actually have a DGU in the last 12 months or was it 15 months?

5. He took the results of his flawed sample and extrapolated it to all households even though 66% did not have guns and therefore could not possibly have had a DGU.

The man does not know how to research and doesn't care to do quality work.

The CDC had one reference to his 2 million DGUs/year and gunners lap it up while at the same time denigrating every other study they've done.

Then you have Lott who admits to simply making up numbers and using false identity to applaud his own work. Yeah, like I'm going to respect these guy's work.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
51. just a few things
Sat Jun 11, 2016, 06:20 PM
Jun 2016
1. He randomly surveyed 5000 phone numbers. The best information we have is that only 34% of households have guns, so 66% of his sample is flawed.
he used a larger sample size than polls that call only a few hundred phone numbers. If his poll is wrong, then every poll is wrong. But at least you didn't do what Hemenway did, which was to claim that Gertz's employees falsified data. Can you explain how two thirds would be flawed outside of maybe those would be the bulk of the no answers?

2. He had no way of verifying the data gathered; no police reports, no secondary witnesses, nothing. He just took their word for it.
He didn't do that either. Every positive response was passed to a supervisor who asked a variety of questions aimed to weed out false positives. BTW, false negatives are probably more common.

5. He took the results of his flawed sample and extrapolated it to all households even though 66% did not have guns and therefore could not possibly have had a DGU.
Assumption not based on evidence. You provided no evidence that the poll was flawed other than simply claim that it is.

The man does not know how to research and doesn't care to do quality work.
So how come you, well really Hemenway can find so called flaws yet no one else could, not even Marvin Wolfgang? Why did this study, and the book that was spawned from it, received an award from his professional society? Can you also explain that Phil Cook of all people were among the researchers that verified his results?

The CDC had one reference to his 2 million DGUs/year and gunners lap it up while at the same time denigrating every other study they've done
because they were not done by researchers trained in that area, was funded by Bloomberg, and usually didn't show up in a peer review criminology journal. Oh, the the studies were objectively shit.

Have you actually read the book and study, or just read what others say about it?

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
59. You talking to me or to GE?
Sun Jun 12, 2016, 11:16 PM
Jun 2016

He offered no evidence, so either you pick and choose what is evidence worthy and what isn't. Either way you bring NOTHING to the conversation.

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
61. "Either way you bring NOTHING to the conversation.
Mon Jun 13, 2016, 01:02 AM
Jun 2016

That line never gets old to you, does it? You really do need to consider some new material, guy!



pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
55. Mr. Johnston did a good job on slapping your nonsense down.....but more points:
Sun Jun 12, 2016, 11:04 AM
Jun 2016
The best information we have is that only 34% of households have guns, so 66% of his sample is flawed.

WTF?! Your "logic" is not just ill, but excruciatingly so! The percentage of respondents who provided a 'yes' response to the DGU query was so small that it's perfectly plausible that they fall within the category of gun owning households. As GE queried - can you provide a plausible explanation of why this would not be the case? The burden of explanation is on YOU.

He just took their word for it.

Simply a brazen lie -- as has already been pointed out. There are some very skilled individuals who can "lie on the fly" as they answer a series of questions.....but such persons are in the great minority. If a respondent claimed a DGU they were asked if the conversation could be recorded from that point -- and yes answers were scrutinized for false positives. Also - as the CDC has admitted - the Kleck/Gertz survey is not an outlier. There are something in the order of 14-15 surveys that support their conclusions. Academia isn't exactly known for it's 'right-wing bias'. So what --- is there some sort of vast "left wing conspiracy" to inflate defensive gun use by "just taking respondents word for it"? Lunacy!

He asked a question that guaranteed a very high false positive rate of response.

There is some validity to this criticism --- but even if all of the DGU surveys are off by a wide margin, it's still pretty ludicrous to suggest that they're off by such a margin as to invalidate the conclusion that DGU's happen with enough frequency to completely or largely offset gun misuse - given the relatively low numbers of gun misuses by criminals. (Quote from CDC on this forthcoming)

He failed to correct for 'telescoping'. Did the respondents actually have a DGU in the last 12 months or was it 15 months?

Mr. Johnston addressed this......but more on this in a moment.

He took the results of his flawed sample and extrapolated it to all households even though 66% did not have guns and therefore could not possibly have had a DGU.

"Logical" fruit from the poisoned tree. See response to #1.

The man does not know how to research and doesn't care to do quality work.

That asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence.

NOW -- HERE IS THE CRUCIAL POINT W/REGARD TO **ALL** OF KLECK'S RESEARCH:

Targeting Guns contains detailed responses to all of Kleck's DGU critics. Before he went to print, Kleck provided said critics (Hemenway, Wintemute, Ludwig, Cook, Kellerman etc.) with his manuscript --- offering them a chance to rebut any/all of his statements. TO DATE, NOT ONE OF HIS CRITICS HAS RESPONDED. Why would they? Their political purposes were served the moment they tendered their rebuttals -- fully aware that the press would lap up what they had to say and disregard Kleck's comments.

The CDC had one reference to his 2 million DGUs/year and gunners lap it up while at the same time denigrating every other study they've done.

Another falsehood. What a shocker! In point of fact, the latest statement by the CDC is hostile to the gun-restriction position on numerous fronts. More on that in a bit.



flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
60. Yeah and suppressors will save your hearing. Naaa, they just make your gun longer
Sun Jun 12, 2016, 11:18 PM
Jun 2016

which is what gunners really want anyway.

You and GE offer no evidence, so I dismiss you both.

Straw Man

(6,782 posts)
62. That nonsense again?
Mon Jun 13, 2016, 01:07 AM
Jun 2016
Yeah and suppressors will save your hearing. Naaa, they just make your gun longer

which is what gunners really want anyway.

Then why not just buy a gun with a longer barrel? It's much cheaper because you don't need that $200 federal stamp.

I've told you that before. You must have forgotten.
 

Marengo

(3,477 posts)
64. After all the complaining about a lack of cogent discussion...
Mon Jun 13, 2016, 09:02 AM
Jun 2016

This is what you have to offer? What precisely do you mean by "gunners" only wanting suppressors so as to make their guns longer?

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
56. From that right-wing CDC: (Ooooooops!)
Sun Jun 12, 2016, 11:14 AM
Jun 2016
Defensive uses of guns are common:
“Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million per year…in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008.” (emphasis added)

Armed citizens are less likely to be injured by an attacker:
“Studies that directly assessed the effect of actual defensive uses of guns (i.e., incidents in which a gun was ‘used’ by the crime victim in the sense of attacking or threatening an offender) have found consistently lower injury rates among gun-using crime victims compared with victims who used other self-protective strategies.”

Mass shootings and accidental firearm deaths account for a small fraction of gun-related deaths, and both are declining:
“The number of public mass shootings of the type that occurred at Sandy Hook Elementary School accounted for a very small fraction of all firearm-related deaths. Since 1983 there have been 78 events in which 4 or more individuals were killed by a single perpetrator in 1 day in the United States, resulting in 547 victims and 476 injured persons.” The report also notes, “Unintentional firearm-related deaths have steadily declined during the past century. The number of unintentional deaths due to firearm-related incidents accounted for less than 1 percent of all unintentional fatalities in 2010.”

“Interventions” (i.e, gun control) such as background checks, so-called assault rifle bans and gun-free zones produce “mixed” results:
“Whether gun restrictions reduce firearm-related violence is an unresolved issue.” The report could not conclude whether “passage of right-to-carry laws decrease or increase violence crime.”

Gun buyback/turn-in programs are “ineffective” in reducing crime:
“There is empirical evidence that gun turn in programs are ineffective, as noted in the 2005 NRC study Firearms and Violence: A Critical Review. For example, in 2009, an estimated 310 million guns were available to civilians in the United States (Krouse, 2012), but gun buy-back programs typically recover less than 1,000 guns (NRC, 2005). On the local level, buy-backs may increase awareness of firearm violence. However, in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, for example, guns recovered in the buy-back were not the same guns as those most often used in homicides and suicides (Kuhn et al., 2002).”

Stolen guns and retail/gun show purchases account for very little crime:
“More recent prisoner surveys suggest that stolen guns account for only a small percentage of guns used by convicted criminals. … According to a 1997 survey of inmates, approximately 70 percent of the guns used or possess by criminals at the time of their arrest came from family or friends, drug dealers, street purchases, or the underground market.”

The vast majority of gun-related deaths are not homicides, but suicides:
“Between the years 2000-2010 firearm-related suicides significantly outnumbered homicides for all age groups, annually accounting for 61 percent of the more than 335,600 people who died from firearms related violence in the United States.”

http://www.nap.edu/read/18319/chapter/1
 

theatre goon

(87 posts)
63. But the CDC is banned from doing research regarding guns!
Mon Jun 13, 2016, 06:30 AM
Jun 2016

At least, that's what some people keep claiming -- I'm sure they wouldn't be mistaken about such an important claim...

Do I really need the sarcasm tag...?

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
65. No........you don't need the sarcasm tag.
Mon Jun 13, 2016, 10:07 AM
Jun 2016

And I really should apologize to our friend flamin lib for my post, given that I'm contributing nothing to the conversation.

(Do I really need the sarcasm tag...?)

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
48. LOL - even though pro-control academics have reached the same conclusions re. DGU's.
Sat Jun 11, 2016, 01:32 PM
Jun 2016

And your beloved CDC now admits that there are high numbers of defensive gun uses.

Philip Cook and Jens Ludwig's study confirmed Kleck's finding of high number of DGU's -- I imagine that's the issue that prompted your post. Of course they immediately walked back their own findings......even though they had no reservations about embarking on their survey to begin with.

And of course, you present no evidence to support your assertion. How typical. You suffer from the delusion that 'Because I say so' is a valid argument.

https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles/165476.pdf

Republicans don't have the market cornered with regard to factose intolerance:

http://www.ancient-origine.com/scientists-earth-endangered-new-strain-fact-resistant-humans/

benEzra

(12,148 posts)
53. I still have yet to see many on the gun control side acknowledge the rarity of rifle misuse,
Sun Jun 12, 2016, 12:38 AM
Jun 2016

or the fact that rifle handgrip shape is irrelevant to said misuse, or the now-overwhelming dominance of modern-looking rifles in sporting shooting and responsible ownership, or the irrelevance of magazine capacities over 10 rounds to both offensive criminal misuse and to mass murder in detachable-magazine guns. Trying to address gun misuse by banning rifle handgrips or magazines that stick out is like trying to address Zika by spraying for spiders.

Some gun-control advocates have indeed acknowledged the irrationality of those approaches (the former head of Americans for Gun Safety comes to mind), but very few. That fundamentalist devotion to early-90s gun control shibboleths is certainly an impediment to rational debate, IMO, but Bloomberg vehemently wants rifle/mag bans, and since he almost single-handedly funds the gun control lobby, his preferences frame the debate.

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