2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumElectors can just as easily not vote at all and prevent Trump
If 38 electors don't vote for him, the vote goes to congress. This can just as easily happen if they vote for nobody, or abstain.
Johnathan146
(141 posts)I don't think congress is going to choose Hillary?
And why would they? These electors are lifelong republicans, many of which would end their political career if they don't vote for trump.
still_one
(96,615 posts)kudzu22
(1,273 posts)They only need a majority of the electoral votes cast -- 270 if all 538 vote. If only 500 vote then they only need 251.
still_one
(96,615 posts)and 270 would still be the threshold. Since the republicans control the house, and the house chooses from the top three candidates who received the most electoral votes, trump would be chosen.
However, if enough republican electors choose an entirely different candidate so the top three candidates would be Hillary, trump, and this different candidate, no single candidate would get 270, and it would go to the house, where the house could theoretically choose that different candidate.
The odds that any of this would actually happen is extremely remote.
The odds that any of the republican electors would change their vote to Hillary are even more remote
kudzu22
(1,273 posts)it's the majority of appointed electors. I was thinking of the case when a state's entire delegation is rejected - that lowers the threshhold.
still_one
(96,615 posts)choose a less insane republican which forces the election to the house, and this less insane republican candidates gets chosen by the house.
I think the probability is almost NIL that enough of these republican electors will choose Hillary, or any Democrat for that matter, but I can dream
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Not Hillary
As much as I would like that
sarisataka
(21,029 posts)considered by the House are the top three Electoral vote receivers; they cannot pick just anyone.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Vote for a mitt or kasich
sarisataka
(21,029 posts)plus enough Electors to abandon Trump so he does not get 270. Then the House would have to select a Republican who was not even in the election and received zero popular votes.
I would sooner count on winning Powerball and Megamillions this week...
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Than it is for the electors to flip. But if enough just abstain it will do the trick. Still either way there's a very tiny chance it could happen.
still_one
(96,615 posts)candidate, that could theoretically prevent any one candidate from getting the required 270, and the house would then choose from those three candidates
LonePirate
(13,899 posts)Someone besides him has to win 270 votes tomorrow or he will become President on January 20.
TexasMommaWithAHat
(3,212 posts)If the repugs actually had the chance to put another republican in office, I think they might actually try it.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)onenote
(44,699 posts)Trump got more votes than all Repub house candidates combined. If they chose someone who ran against trump and lost or didn't run at all they'd all face primary opponents in two years, especially if trump still has considerably more EVs than the third place finisher (the only option the house can consider).
kudzu22
(1,273 posts)They'd all be voted out in their primaries when their terms end.
still_one
(96,615 posts)PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)If only Clinton or Trump got electoral votes that would be their only 2 possible choices.
So at least one elector has to vote for someone other than Clinton or Trump if Republicans
in the House were opening to picking a Republican other than Trump.
The House would not select Clinton.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)So far ten democratic electors have said they would do that
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)So they say
femmocrat
(28,394 posts)Can't you imagine the debates on C-span? It would expose all the rotten hypocrites and could *possibly* encourage an unexpected hero to emerge.
dubyadiprecession
(6,354 posts)The GOP House of representatives can't do anything about it, She would Then win on a technicality.
Well, she would already have the popular vote!
sarisataka
(21,029 posts)If no one gets 270 it goes to the House. Period.
There is no technicality win
dubyadiprecession
(6,354 posts)sarisataka
(21,029 posts)And even if Hillary has 269 votes and Trump has three with Mickey Mouse getting the rest the odds of Hillary getting the House vote is 0.0%
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Then it goes to the senate cause you need a majority, and only three republicans will have to flip for Clinton to take it. Still a moonshot, but if I only have a few more hours to dream before trump is actually president elect, I'll take those few precious hours 😁
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,366 posts)If no one gets 270 (it doesn't have to be a 269-269 tie), the Presidential election goes to the House and the Vice Presidential election goes to the Senate. The Senate has nothing whatsoever to do with the Presidential vote.
Once in the House, every state gets a single vote, so the candidate with 26 wins the election.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)If nobody gets a majority in the house, it goes to he Senate
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,366 posts)Ace Rothstein
(3,299 posts)PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)If Trumps count drops below Clinton's because the rest of the votes went to someone
other than Clinton and Clinton still has below 270 it goes to the House who must pick among
the top 3 electoral vote getters.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,366 posts)rzemanfl
(30,289 posts)tent and could not pretend to be on the outside pissing in.
A democratic elector could vote for an alternative Repuke. Maybe someone in Hawaii?
onenote
(44,699 posts)would all face primaries in two years in the entirely unlikely event it had to be decided by the House. They aren't risking it. Period. End of discussion.
JI7
(90,590 posts)him.
still_one
(96,615 posts)different candidate, so no one candidate gets 270, then it would be sent to the house, where the house could choose that different candidate. It will still be a republican, but it could be someone less destructive than trump. We will still be screwed, but not as badly
MFM008
(20,001 posts)To be rejected by the people
AND the electors.
Even if picked by the house.......
oberliner
(58,724 posts)We need to deal with this reality and move on.
Liberty Belle
(9,611 posts)which throws it to the House to make the decision, but at least the elector can know in good conscience they did not vote to destroy America.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Easily.
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Maybe all do, I'm not sure (and I won't bother to look it up because this whole line of thinking is pure fantasy).
But, while we're fantasizing, suppose 50 or so Trump electors had been to a victory party last week when the roof collapsed and they all died. Even that wouldn't have elected Clinton, because many or all of the deceased electors would have been replaced by alternates.
Before the election, the state party submits a slate of names of would-be electors plus a full set of alternates. I'll hazard a guess that, if an elector doesn't show up, one of the alternates could be hastily summoned to the meeting.