POLL: How Trump Leaves WH

[Garrett78]

95. Our nominee will have 278 with those 3 states. There were 5 faithless electors in 2016, which...

...would have given Clinton 232.

I can't see Trump winning any of the states that Clinton won. And a couple factors at play in 2016 won't be at play in 2020. I'm thinking of Comey and a nominee who faced ruthless attacks for 3 decades.

I think PA and MI will go back to being blue, as they had been for 6 straight presidential elections prior to '16. Same with WI, which had been blue for 7 straight.

I don't think Florida is lost. Historically, Florida is red in mid-terms and purple in presidential elections. It was very close in 2016, extremely close on November 6 (for Governor and Senate), and I think we can pull it out in 2020.

I think our nominee will have a good chance of winning NC and AZ, as well. Even OH, GA, IA and TX could be in play.

Just by putting TX, AZ and GA in play, we force Trump (or whoever) to campaign in those states.

That said, the days of a nominee winning 400+ electoral votes are long gone. Obama's 365 in 2008 is probably the most we can hope for.