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-misanthroptimist

(1,225 posts)

6. Trump failed to reach 47% in 2016 and 2020

Reply to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Fri Oct 4, 2024, 10:22 PM

Oct 4

There is no reason on Earth or in the data to suppose he'll crack 47% in 2024. Kamala will win the national vote by 6-8%.

But she'll need you to vote for that to happen.

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ColinC IrishAfricanAmerican

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Highlight:

Pollsters adjusting and giving extra weight to Trump this election could be 100% wrong. [View all] Quixote1818 Oct 4 OP

COULD! elleng Oct 4 #1

Keep eyes on the prize... Lovie777 Oct 4 #2

I drove route 28 from Brookville, Pa. gab13by13 Oct 4 #3

I hope they are doing exactly as we suspect. Think about it: it can't really hurt us ColinC Oct 4 #4

Point of clarification. VMA131Marine Oct 4 #5

Trump failed to reach 47% in 2016 and 2020 -misanthroptimist Oct 4 #6

That's where I'm at too. IrishAfricanAmerican Oct 5 #9

2016 was a freak election -misanthroptimist Oct 5 #10

Definitely over 300, I think more like 340s range IrishAfricanAmerican Oct 5 #11

I would definitely give a litle more weight to tRump BWdem4life Oct 5 #7

Not only did Trump's primary results seriously underperform the polls, and when there were no candidates left, Haley lees1975 Oct 5 #8

While Trump did underperform in the primaries, it could be because he had it in the bag Polybius Oct 5 #12