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RidinWithHarris

(790 posts)
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 03:51 PM Oct 2024

Most of us agree polling is probably broken. But broken by how much? [View all]

First off, let's assume we're factoring all "red-wave" fly-by-night fake polling OUT of the discussion.

Let's just talk about established pollsters (as long as you aren't choosing the tinfoil hat option given below) who we'll credit with trying to do their best given low response rates and trying to model a difficult-to-model changing electorate, difficult-to-predict motivation to turn out, and difficult-to-predict ground game effectiveness.


24 votes, 2 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Some degree of Trump support is being hidden
0 (0%)
About 1% of Harris support is being hidden
1 (4%)
About 2% of Harris support is being hidden
1 (4%)
About 3% of Harris support is being hidden
5 (21%)
About 4% of Harris support is being hidden
3 (13%)
5%-10% of Harris support is being hidden
13 (54%)
More than 10% of Harris support is being hidden
1 (4%)
My tinfoil hat is on -- it's ALL RIGGED!!1!11!!
0 (0%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
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