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In reply to the discussion: Tim Walz backs David Hogg for DNC vice chair [View all]Polybius
(19,428 posts)I am a big believer in Democratic and Republican year cycles. While others look past it, I don't. 2008 was a huge Democratic cycle, and in our timeline, 2016 was a huge Republican one. I think either would have been won by their respective Parties no matter which candidate was chosen.
In 2008, especially with Bush's approval in the toilet, nearly any Democrat could have won. This would be especially true given that John McCain and Sarah Palin were not generational candidates.
In our timeline, 2016 a heavy Republican year, after 8 years of one-Party rule. However, Trump was so bad that he almost lost anyway. Jeb Bush or another Republican would have won by much wider margins.
But of course you are right, there's no way to tell. Maybe I'm wrong and we would have had President Romney in 2012. Still better than what we have now I guess.
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