Will the Democratic Party unify under Hillary or split in two

[whatthehey]

43. Neither

Some portion of nominal Democrats will vote Republican, some 3rd party and some will stay home, but the vast majority will vote for her, just, in all aspects, as they have done with any other nominee since effectrive polling has studied the issue.

If any "3rd" party is attempted it will be minuscule, ineffective, and irrelevant as existing minority parties already are. There are Greens, Socialists, Communists, Constitution, Libertarian and AIP out there right now, but basic psychology coupled with our constitution dictates that everybody but a handful of fringe extremists eventually realize that it's better to get some of what you want with the only two parties who have any chance whatsoever of making things into law under our current system than to utterly miss any of what you want chasing unicorns and rainbows with ciphers who will never affect American politics in the slightest.

The parties themselves can evolve. We have neither Whigs nor Federalists any more, but they always simply evolve into two opposing sides on whatever matters most to the zeitgeist. Unless we xhange how government works, it will always be so.

Now there is a small, nay tiny, chance that a massively wealthy widely admired celebrity faced with weak fractured major parties could become President (no not Trump, not even close) but they would be a figurehead lame duck from day 1, reduced at best to a sort of advisory referee to the excesses of congressional infighting. We saw a bit of a microcosm of this with Ventura. But a 3rd party in the US actually achieving meaningful power? Possible only in a limited way and only by hijacking one of the major party's infrastructure starting at local levels and working up (Tea Party exhibit A but notice all they are really doing is pulling the Republicans in that direction, not forming a separate power structure. That's the only path for any more progressive efforts to get anything achieved).