Marist as reported by News week predicts victory for Democrats in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Georgia

[Demsrule86]

Pennsylvania
Marist's polls conducted in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania show Democrats leading in crucial Senate races, though the margins remain particularly tight in Georgia.

The surveys also showed Democratic candidates are favored to win gubernatorial elections in Arizona and Pennsylvania but Georgia's Republican Governor Brian Kemp is on track for re-election.
The last 2022 Marist poll for Pennsylvania has found Democratic Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman leading Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz in the Senate race among definite voters with 51 percent to Oz's 45 percent and 4 percent undecided.
The graph below shows polling averages from the Pennsylvania Senate race.


https://www.newsweek.com/fetterman-warnock-receive-boost-final-poll-predicts-democrat-landslide-1756949

[kimbutgar]

1. Just heard on Sirius XM Progress station the news at the top of the hour that republicans

Are saying its going to be a red wave and the republicans are confident they will take both houses. I called bs on this. The numbers are not there and people are waking up to the fact that the repukes are insane and want to do away with reproductive rights, social security and Medicare.

I realize they are spreading this bs to discourage the Democratic turnout. It makes me want to encourage more democrats to vote!

[Demsrule86]

5. That is why I posted this...doom and gloom discourages voters.

Thanks...

[LenaBaby61]

14. REALLY THIS 👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻

[yankee87]

15. +1

+1

[peggysue2]

11. Exactly right!

It's in the same vein as saying: Well, the 'little ladies' were all hot and bothered about the abortion issue but that was merely a emotional response. They'll forget about it and not bother to vote because that's what they do.

Really???

Have they taken a gander at the female early voting returns?

Off the charts.

Fired up and ready to go!

[Mister Ed]

13. I think the main reason Republicans are spreading the BS about their inevitable victory...

...is to predispose the public to believe their inevitable claims of fraud anywhere they may lose.

[Mme. Defarge]

18. Exactement!

[Tribetime]

19. Exactly 100%

[FakeNoose]

2. Thanks for this, my friend

I don't want to tell you what's on the FRONT page of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette today.

(It's a depressing poll showing Fetterman losing to Oz.) But they must have looked high and low for that one poll, because all the other polls have Fetterman beating Oz by 5 points or more.

I like this one much better.

[PortTack]

3. Does seem the newspaper poll is an outlier..or just a plain liar!

I’m not much on polls, but when there are several saying same thing, which most give Fetterman approx 5 pts, it is an indicator

[Demsrule86]

10. And Fetterman has reached 51% That is a BFD.

[peggysue2]

12. Yes, it is a BFD and his numbers have been there earlier

In fact, Fetterman's numbers have been pretty consistent throughout after the wild upper spikes this summer. Republicans are holding their noses and indicating they'll vote for Oz but not in the numbers you'd expect bc the man is deeply disliked. Not as bad as Mastriano (who even most Republicans detest) but not good going into the stretch.

[PortTack]

20. Yes indeed if there's any really good indicator of a win it's ma number above 50%!

Yeah!

[W_HAMILTON]

6. We have actual votes we can look to now:

https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2022?state=PA&view_type=state

Pennsylvania is currently looking VERY good for Democrats in terms of the early vote.

If we work on GOTV efforts and we have a reasonable turnout between now and on Election Day and not a complete, drastic, and unforeseen falloff, I think we win in Pennsylvania. Basically, keep doing what we are doing, be sure to vote, get your friends and family to vote and do what you can to GOTV and I think we should be in good shape!

[Demsrule86]

8. Lots of women and young people voting in PA too.

[crickets]

17. Excellent website - thank you! nt

[Demsrule86]

7. This is based on a Marist polls. Which have an A rating...that paper endorsed Oz as I remember.

[TheRealNorth]

4. Don't care

GOTV

[Demsrule86]

9. Amen to that...GOTV.

[Polybius]

16. Any chance Abrams can pull off an upset?

I've only been following Senate races for the most part, except for NY.

[LanguageLover]

21. Marist hasn't moved "538" even one bit !!!

| saw the Marist Poll results earlier in the day. Since then I have been following what appears in "538" as a result.

So far according to "538", the Dems' Senate chances haven't gone even 1-point up. It was 45%-D and 55%-R yesterday. It is exactly the same today.

Fetterman was up by 0.5% over Oz yesterday. Not only has that not gone up for Fetterman but it has actually gone "down" to 0.4%. Yet, according to Marist Fetterman's clear advantage over Oz is the best compared to everything else Marist has reported today.

Therefore, either "538" has totally ignored Marist today or they have all gone home early, today being a Friday after all.