I'm afraid the border and Israel-Hamas war...

[Septua]

..may result in a Biden election loss. Anyone thinking the same?

[Torchlight]

1. As you yourself wrote:

"The majority of voters may not like Biden for whatever reasons but I believe they will remember Trump's 4 year debacle and vote for sanity on Nov 5."

[Elessar Zappa]

2. No, I believe women are still mad

about their right to choose being taken away and will come out in droves in November. Democrats have hugely over-performed in several elections these past couple of years due to that issue and I see no reason why November will be any different.

[Tickle]

24. You still have the right in my

state and the surrounding states. There must be a list of the states that banned abortion?

[BannonsLiver]

3. It's officially depression Wednesday on the forum

[Septua]

10. I like that...

[Septua]

12. But, I can get depressed...

..listening to the war and border whiners. Presidents always get blamed for whatever unpleasant issues are going on and there's that 3% of undecided who could go the wrong way.

[mcar]

4. No

[cilla4progress]

5. Those are his two biggest liabilities,

IMHO

[Celerity]

6. Inflation (CPI) and perceptions of the economy are the biggest worries I have. The border is up there, and I/P for

younger voters.

[edhopper]

7. I feel that many things can sway

low info, unthinking voters. The way the Comey nothingburger announcement cost Hillary.

I am worried in general.

[Arthur_Frain]

8. Not sure it's going to result in a definite loss

but it's frustrating, because IMHO without this BS going on in gaza right now, I'd be feeling pretty comfortable. Well, as comfortable as I can be knowing that just under half of America is dumber than a box of rocks.

[Septua]

16. I keep thinking he'll win the popular vote but...

..that won't necessarily win the election.

[sarisataka]

9. By my math, it is razor thin

And I cannot honestly say we are on the good side of the razor.

I believe it comes down to Michigan, Georgia and Arizona. We need 2 of those 3 to keep Biden in office and I am pessimistic about Michigan.

[Septua]

15. Yep, got to accept what looks like reality.

NT

[sarisataka]

17. We ignored warning signs in 2016, to our detriment

I fear some are making the same mistakes in '24

[Cha]

11. Why are you DEPRSSSING the VOTE for Pres Biden?!

Damn

[wnylib]

13. I'd like to know that, too.

[Cha]

18. Thank You!

[Septua]

14. If that is directed at me...

..I'm not forecasting, just looking at polls, listening to headlines and concerned over how many voters don't think like we at DU think.

Add to that the Trump party's ratcheted up propaganda to an all time high, Trump party plans to to screw with the elections and the situation is disconcerting.

I hear Joe is going to rev up his negative campaign at Trump after the current trial ends which might help.

And if the jury can convict Trump on at least on of the charges, that will help.

[Cha]

19. Yes I replied Exactly to your OP.

And, I think you are... Just what we need.. More Concern Negativity.. Not.

We're Going to WIN In Spite of All the Evil Forces Against Us.. and that Includes the US Media and All their Damn "polls".

We've always had to deal with this to Fight for Our Democracy.. Too many Greedy Asshole Idiots out there and Cult Morons.

[Septua]

30. I can appreciate your position...

..and didn't want to light anyone's fuse but positive thinking alone won't reelect Joe.

As you noted, there are too many greedy idiots and cult morons and no one knows how many of them want Trump back in office or what they will do to get him back in office.

[wnylib]

23. Yes, the MAGA party has ratcheted up propaganda.

Part of the propaganda is how well they are doing in comparison to Biden. Their reason for that particular propaganda line is to set the stage for claiming fraud if he loses. It's a 2020 repeat.

A Biden win is no shoe-in. The nation's political climate is different today from 2020. We have to work harder for votes this time than in 2020. But we can win this.

[Septua]

29. The 2020 repeat

Yeah, and that's the part that pisses me off. Trump is not going away for any reason.

If he loses the election, he will contest the results; if he is convicted in the hush money trial, he will continue to campaign for the presidency.

Of course, contesting an election loss will be under different circumstances this time since he's not the incumbent. If the lower courts follow the rules and throw out the bogus lawsuits, his only course of action will be another attempt at blocking the transfer of power.

And I'm guessing he'll have a plan ready for that. And I'm hoping there is a defense plan for that.

[myohmy2]

20. yep...

...from ambivalence and apathy especially with the Gaza war...

...by letting yahu pull our chain we've lost the moral high ground with most of the world's communities and with an ever increasing number of voting Americans who are offended by yahu's relentless carnage...

...no one is going back to the world of October 6th and just like the russians in Ukraine the Arabs have the numbers to keep this going for as long as it takes...many Americans see the Gaza war as just another dead end leading nowhere...another black hole for our depleting money and resources...

...meanwhile who is winning is china, russia, iran and hamas all of whom have a stake in see us decline and weakened...

...it's sad that we're getting blamed...

[budkin]

21. No

I don’t.

[Behind the Aegis]

22. No one can say Russia doesn't know how to fuck with the US elections.

[betsuni]

25. The Biden administration is doing all it can every day on issues affecting the election.

Jill Biden said today on "The View" that her husband has met with CEOs about prices. Thank you to everyone here posting what the administration is doing. I have confidence that all that can be done will have been done by November.

I have no confidence in the American people and it's up to them. If Trump wins, pundits will blather on about how he won because Biden was so terrible. It's insane.

[SomewhereInTheMiddle]

26. It is May ...

There is still so much time before the election for things to go right or wrong. So many things could happen between now and November that will replace the border or Gaza in the news.

I do think some voters may fixate on a single issue to the exclusion of almost everything else, and depending on what that issue is for a given voter, it may impact Biden's margin.

But I don't think the current crises will still be driving the main election narrative in October.

I could be wrong. But I don't think now is the time to worry. Time to work for change, but not to give up on winning.

[GoodRaisin]

27. I don't think we are talking about all the right things.

The economy is really very good “but inflation and food prices”.
Not sure what more we can say when M$M keeps pushing this narrative.

“Israel”
What more can Joe do about that he isn’t already doing?

”The border”
Republican wedge issue every fucking election.

Start talking about Americans losing their Social Security and Medicare if Trump wins. And losing health care. The two things that always seem to work for us with voters.

[Think. Again.]

28. Sounds like something the rightwing spin doctors would try to spread.

[FrankBooth]

31. Wow, some deep analysis there

Your concern is duly noted.

[Septua]

32. I am admittedly...

..a master of the obvious.