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Polybius

(18,367 posts)
Sat Jun 15, 2024, 10:59 AM Jun 2024

What do you think the Popular Vote margin be this November?

Yes, I know the Popular Vote is meaningless in this country, but I'm curious to know what everyone is thinking. Basically tied? A difference of 5 points? 10?


36 votes, 1 pass | Time left: Unlimited
Biden wins the Popular Vote by less than 1%
0 (0%)
Biden wins the Popular Vote by 1-3%
10 (28%)
Biden wins the Popular Vote by 4-6%
7 (19%)
Biden wins the Popular Vote by 7-10%
1 (3%)
Biden wins the Popular Vote by over 10%
16 (44%)
Trump wins the Popular Vote by less than 1%
0 (0%)
Trump wins the Popular Vote by 1-3%
1 (3%)
Trump wins the Popular Vote by 4-6%
0 (0%)
Trump wins the Popular Vote by 7-10%
0 (0%)
Trump wins the Popular Vote by over 10%
1 (3%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What do you think the Popular Vote margin be this November? (Original Post) Polybius Jun 2024 OP
Not sure percentage wise but I'd guess 7-10 million votes. Elessar Zappa Jun 2024 #1
I think 2020 was a record that won't be repeated for awhile. jimfields33 Jun 2024 #3
Two people here think that Trump wins by over 10%? Polybius Jun 2024 #2
I think they were joking. I took it that way anyway. jimfields33 Jun 2024 #4
Perhaps Polybius Jun 2024 #5
That's a very big possibility as well. jimfields33 Jun 2024 #7
I was talking to a poster in another thread about this Polybius Jun 2024 #14
Trump will claim he won by the greatest margin in history even if he loses by 80%. Ping Tung Jun 2024 #6
To the 38% who said that Biden will win by 10%, do you honestly believe that? Polybius Jun 2024 #8
Yes. Butterflylady Jun 2024 #11
How could you possibly believe something like that? Polybius Jun 2024 #12
I';d like someone who voted "Biden +10" to explain the basis for that choice. brooklynite Jun 2024 #9
For sure Polybius Jun 2024 #10
Performative optimism. Magical thinking. Silent3 Jun 2024 #16
Kick Polybius Jun 2024 #13
Razor thin margins as usual maxsolomon Jun 2024 #15
I agree Polybius Jun 2024 #17

jimfields33

(19,317 posts)
3. I think 2020 was a record that won't be repeated for awhile.
Sat Jun 15, 2024, 11:24 AM
Jun 2024

The entire country was shut down basically. Not as many distractions. I’m thinking it will be 2-5 million and the numbers go back to pre Covid.

Polybius

(18,367 posts)
14. I was talking to a poster in another thread about this
Fri Jun 21, 2024, 11:52 AM
Jun 2024

He thinks Biden wins by 20. I think it'll be within a couple of points.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219047814#post3

Ping Tung

(1,432 posts)
6. Trump will claim he won by the greatest margin in history even if he loses by 80%.
Sat Jun 15, 2024, 11:38 AM
Jun 2024

You know, "FAKE NEWS!" "FOREIGN INTERFERENCE!" "DEEP STATE!" "DEAD PEOPLE VOTED" "BIDEN IS GETTING PAID BY CASTRO!"

'SEND ME MORE MONEY!!"

Polybius

(18,367 posts)
8. To the 38% who said that Biden will win by 10%, do you honestly believe that?
Sun Jun 16, 2024, 09:06 PM
Jun 2024

Or did you accidently misread the OP? It's not what you want to happen, but what you think will happen.

Polybius

(18,367 posts)
12. How could you possibly believe something like that?
Mon Jun 17, 2024, 11:27 AM
Jun 2024

10+? Obama and Clinton never even came close to that, and they were generational candidates.

 

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
9. I';d like someone who voted "Biden +10" to explain the basis for that choice.
Sun Jun 16, 2024, 09:30 PM
Jun 2024

Biden's campaign manager has told me personally that the race will be very close.

 

Silent3

(15,909 posts)
16. Performative optimism. Magical thinking.
Fri Jun 21, 2024, 02:20 PM
Jun 2024

Some people seem to believe we can positive-think our way to victory. The only amount of positive thinking needed, however, is just enough to keep working to win the election without giving up.

maxsolomon

(35,359 posts)
15. Razor thin margins as usual
Fri Jun 21, 2024, 01:54 PM
Jun 2024

with 1/3 of voters sitting it out.

I've been trying to hold off this conclusion for decades: the majority of American adults are either f-ing lazy or f-ing stupid, and often both.

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