Senate predictions

[Polybius]

In the Senate right now, there are 49 Republicans and 51 Democrats (I'm including the Independents who align with Democrats).

So what do you think it will be come January? They have one seat that is 99.99% certain to be a pickup for them (WV), but we can gain a couple as well to offset it. We have a chance in TX and FL. Unfortunately, they have a good chance in MT and a reasonable chance in OH.

34 votes, 3 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	The same as it is now, 51-49 with us in the Majority
	1 (3%)
	We gain one seat
	7 (21%)
	They gain one seat
	12 (35%)
	We gain two seats
	10 (29%)
	They gain two seats
	3 (9%)
	We gain three seats
	1 (3%)
	They gain three seats
	0 (0%)
	3 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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[JustAnotherGen]

1. I think

Tester and Brown are going to win. Definitely Brown. I'm also not convinced we are losing Ohio.

[Polybius]

3. I think Brown wins too

But Tester is down in multiple polls by 5 or 6 points. It's worrisome.

[Dan]

6. I wonder in the polls in Montana - are they correctly

Identifying the female vote? The Native American vote?

[Polybius]

9. It's a very Red state

Trump will win it by 15-19 points. It wouldn't surprise me at all if the polls on Tester are correct.

[Dan]

10. Yes, but he's won before... what changed?

Aside from his opponent having a shit-load of money.

[Polybius]

11. Trump's on the ballot this time

Last time Tester won was 2018, in a very Democratic year. Will a certain percentage of Trump voters cross over? I don't know, but I hope so.

[jimfields33]

12. His first run was in 2006. A blue wave election that was big!

His second run was in 2012 a great President Obama year. His third run in 2018, a great mid term year for the Democratic Party. 2024 is a presidential election so it’s a mystery how it will turn out.

[Polybius]

14. What's your prediction?

Any guesses?

[jimfields33]

16. I'm a wimp. I will say, if he wins this year, it's his

until he’s decided to retire. This will be his most challenging election probably ever and even future ones will be easier.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

4. Brown has been pretty much up the whole time, yes? Is anyone predicting we lose that seat?

[WarGamer]

2. MT and WV are deep concerns with no clear cut takeaway States.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

5. I think we pick up the Florida seat with abortion on the ballot.

That’s one of the reasons Der Santis is having conniptions.

I think that leaves us with a tie.

[Trueblue1968]

7. teddy cruzy loses !!!!!!

[Gaytano70]

8. Noone talks about Nebraska for obvious reasons, BUT

Dan Osborne (I) has the momentum to beat Deb Fisher, and I am keeping my Nebraska fingers crossed!
Btw...Dan is a pro-labor, working class guy 🇺🇸

[Polybius]

13. That would be a nice upset

It's been a while since there was a big Senate upset.

[JanMichael]

15. Don't know. I just hope it holds.