538 latest chances of winning: Kamala 61%, Trump 39%

[Doodley]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

[SunSeeker]

1. Wow. That's quite a change.

Before the debate, I recall 538 had Trump at 56% chance of winning. The debate completely flipped the chances of winning percentages.

[Frank D. Lincoln]

2. With Taylor Swift's endorsement of Kamala Harris as the cherry on top. nt

[musclecar6]

3. Yes

I think Taylor Swift’s endorsement certainly helped and the Orange lunatic’s increasingly off the rails behavior is adding high octane gasoline to the fire. Course the tenets of project 2025 as they become known, should send the voters running for the hills. It’s going in the right direction. As we know, Get Out The Vote is key, so we can’t stop making a max effort to bring that home.

[jaxexpat]

4. Kamala is doing all the right things while Trump is doing only Trump things.

That explains the 538 current number. Trump's schtick has gone off, the novelty and fascination long past their best-sell-by date. What a mess. Good thing Joe fixed the fridge, otherwise it would be 4 years just to get that stench out.

At this point in a presidential election cycle many people are just beginning to notice there's an election this November. The American citizen is a wary creature, ever alert and ever vigilant in an uninformed and preoccupied sort of way. Let's just check in with this patriotic example, "What? Didn't we just have an election? I heard Trump won it. He didn't? Wow, I might just have to vote this time. Every four years? Really? Congressman? What's a congressman? You mean people actually vote for sheriffs and school boards? Who knew."

The 2024 election is destined to go Democratic. Yes, there's every reason to expect an actual landslide, including the down-ballot bonuses in congress so desperately needed. There will be a political opportunity for Democrats unseen since the days of FDR. Soon the challenge will be to anticipate and make the wisest decisions on the path forward. It's the art of walking on eggshells. Some must be broken while others must be protected. Because some idiot left all these damn eggshells in the path for democracy to trip on.

[Johnny2X2X]

5. Look at the post debate polling

She's ahead 4 or 5 nationally and the swing states are trending for her too. 538's model is data driven and doesn't account for things like celebrity endorsements. I think the chances that Harris outperforms the polls are very good.

[republianmushroom]

6. Suck it up convicted felon.