Harris now leads in all swing states on 538 with a 63% chance

[Tribetime]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

[Klarkashton]

1. So much for "no convention bounce"

[Fiendish Thingy]

2. What, you're not gonna give Taylor Swift any credit?

[Shermann]

10. She gets credit for "Swiftbooting" him

[YessirAtsaFact]

12. A lot of the Taylor Swift influence may not show up in any polling prior to the election

If she adds half a million new Harris votes to the tally, many of them won't show up in the polling because they aren't currently registered voters.

Yes, I'm being optimistic.

[lpbk2713]

3. I always knew Trump was a loser.

I can't wait till November to make it official.

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. That's not quite accurate

538 shows AZ, NC, GA and PA as Toss Ups, with no clear leader.

[lindysalsagal]

5. PA has Harris up 2 in the average of polls, and one is a gqp biased poll.

https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/pennsylvania

[Tribetime]

6. Scroll down to closest races

Maybe i'm going by something different than you

[YessirAtsaFact]

13. The PA poll released today had Harris +6

Quinnipiac 9/18:

Pennsylvania: Harris +6

Michigan: Harris +5

Wisconsin: Harris +1

[Fiendish Thingy]

14. Yup, and GA, NC and AZ she's up less than a point

Which is why 538 has those states listed as Toss Ups, too close to call.

[lindysalsagal]

7. With interest rates and gas prices dropping, dow surging, we are in a very good place.

[Johnny2X2X]

8. Debate bounce.

And it’s just starting. This stuff lags a couple few weeks.

[LAS14]

9. REMEMBER 2016!!! Get out the vote!!!! nt

[Tribetime]

11. Yes yes and yes send TSF packing for good

[Algernon Moncrieff]

15. RCP "no tossups" is less optimistic but still shows a narrow EV win for Harris

Still a long way to go, though.