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Hurricane Kirk will hit Britain as a Tropical Storm (Original Post) malaise Oct 4 OP
Forecasts differ a lot on the strength muriel_volestrangler Oct 4 #1
Cornwall :( polichick Oct 4 #2
You never hear of hurricanes hitting Britain. Emile Oct 4 #3

muriel_volestrangler

(102,679 posts)
1. Forecasts differ a lot on the strength
Fri Oct 4, 2024, 03:36 PM
Oct 4
This means confidence in the forecast with regards to the behaviour of the remnants of Hurricane Kirk is currently fairly low. Different computer models continue to indicate very different timings and possible impacts of the storm over the next week or so.


Left image: European ECMWF model forecast. Right image: American GFS model forecast
...
If the storm's remnants do head towards the UK, the impacts will vary hugely depending on its location, pressure and timing.

If the storm moves to our north, it may drag up some humid, tropical air and push our temperatures upwards. If the system tracks to our south, a colder spell of weather is possible, with the chance of blustery showers.

But if the storm tracks right across the UK, there is the potential for a spell of particularly wet, windy and possibly disruptive weather.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/cd98znqwpzyo

The one on the left is nothing unusual at all. The one on the right could be nasty.
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