GOP Crossover Voting is Being Greatly Underestimated

[Beetwasher.]

Just watch. If you were a GOP crossover voter, would you be very vocal about it in a red area with loony MAGATS around?

[lame54]

1. It's hopeful but...

No way to verify

[surfered]

4. I find it hard to imagine a Republican voting against Trump

and then vote for down ballot Republicans. They’re the ones supporting Trump and no different than him. Those opposing Trump lost in the Primaries and aren’t on the ballot.

It would have to be a total crossover

[Johnny2X2X]

2. The Arizona early voting numbers are huge

They match up to Harris getting a hundred thousand Republicn votes so far.

[GumboYaYa]

8. That is slightly under 20% of the total Repub vote there,

and that is slightly under the amount of the Repub vote Haley was getting in the primaries.

[lees1975]

11. Yes, given the numbers based on party registration,

Even if Harris got 95% of the unaffiliated voters, she'd have to pick up more than 15% of the GOP vote to get to 55% of the total.

[Quiet Em]

3. They are missing a big chunk of Republican women and

Republican girl Dads.

As Carville said, Harris support from AOC to Cheney. And I imagine a huge swath in between.

Trump's coalition is static. He has a ceiling. He has not gained any new voters. He was rejected by a good percentage in his own primary.

Trump's popularity at this point is an illusion. A myth. Reality is going to hit hard on November 5th. The People are going to significantly reject him.

[mucifer]

6. No trump has gained new voters toxic

Online masculine crap is flowing. There are more young male maga than 4 years ago.

I still feel optimistic about VP Harris.

[Quiet Em]

7. most of the online young male maga

don't actually vote.

And there simply isn't even close to the number he would need to overcome his gap with women.

[oldmanlynn]

5. I think so as well

We all saw that Nikki Haley was getting 12 to 17% of the primary votes and these were the never Trumper’s and those folks are probably gonna be voting for Kamala Harris

[Cosmocat]

10. Or most likely not voting either Trump or Kamala

I am not posting this to be doom and gloom, just to say that it is very likely the margin will be closer than what the optimistic takes on these scenarios might lead people may want to think. So, sure, they may not vote for Trump and that is good, but not voting Kamala either is more of a half vote gain than a full vote gain. Again, obviously better than voting Trump ...

[ProudMNDemocrat]

9. Hopefully many of GOP crossover voters are not voting the ame down ticket, as they are tied to tRump in many ways.

[kentuck]

12. I think you are right.

I think a good percentage of early Republican voting is actually voting for Kamala or against Trump. Perhaps it is just wishful thinking on my part but I cannot believe that he is going to get the same degree of support from Republicans as in the past.