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Funtatlaguy

(11,812 posts)
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 01:32 PM Oct 31

5 day out predictions.

Harris wins 4 of 7 swing states. Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina to win the Electoral College.
Harris wins national popular vote by 5 million.
Dems win House 220-215.
Senate ties at 50-50. Dems keep power.

17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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5 day out predictions. (Original Post) Funtatlaguy Oct 31 OP
I would be satisfied with that outcome Walleye Oct 31 #1
Love it! kevink077 Oct 31 #2
I assume you mean the Senate race? Funtatlaguy Oct 31 #12
I'm going 303-235 Johnny2X2X Oct 31 #3
You have both Harris and Trump winning NC. rsdsharp Oct 31 #4
Met GA Johnny2X2X Oct 31 #5
I can't see a Senate win yet. ananda Oct 31 #6
It feels here like tester is closing strong. MontanaFarmer Oct 31 #7
There's a sleeper race in Missouri. lees1975 Oct 31 #9
I think she wins the core 7 swing states. MontanaFarmer Oct 31 #8
My sister lives in Arizona, in a small town in a red county lees1975 Oct 31 #10
Hope they have many sister wives Funtatlaguy Oct 31 #15
I agree with confidence level. Funtatlaguy Oct 31 #13
Wall Street will be so sad. Kid Berwyn Oct 31 #11
bookmarking. WarGamer Oct 31 #14
Ill take that but I'm thinking all 7 battlegrounds and Tribetime Oct 31 #16
I'm predicting.... Dan Oct 31 #17

kevink077

(476 posts)
2. Love it!
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 01:40 PM
Oct 31

Do you see dems taking Texas? I think they have a better shot there than keeping Montana…

Funtatlaguy

(11,812 posts)
12. I assume you mean the Senate race?
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:20 PM
Oct 31

No, I think Tester rallies to win Montana.
Alred comes close in Texas but, as always, we fall short there. Sigh.
I’m thinking only WVirginia flips.

Johnny2X2X

(21,906 posts)
3. I'm going 303-235
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 01:40 PM
Oct 31

Harris wins NV, AZ, MI, WI, PA, and NC. Trump wins GA. Florida is really close, but Trump ekes it out.

Dems win House 223-212. Reps win Senate 51-49.

Harris wins popular vote by 8 million.

ananda

(30,978 posts)
6. I can't see a Senate win yet.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 01:50 PM
Oct 31

That doesn't mean it won't happen,
but I tend to look at that one cautiously.

MontanaFarmer

(748 posts)
7. It feels here like tester is closing strong.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:01 PM
Oct 31

He's been all over the state. Sheehy is nowhere. I still think tester is more likely to lose than win but I feel better than I did 2 weeks ago.

lees1975

(6,133 posts)
9. There's a sleeper race in Missouri.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:09 PM
Oct 31

I know, traditional red state and all that. But, Lucas Kunce has out-raised Josh Hawley, and while this race isn't being polled regularly, there are a couple of recent polls there that are within 2 or 3 points and the MOE. I also wouldn't count Tester out just yet.

MontanaFarmer

(748 posts)
8. I think she wins the core 7 swing states.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:04 PM
Oct 31

I really do. I would love one surprise on top of that but at this point I think she wins the core 7. In order, from most to least confident:

1) Michigan
2) Wisconsin
3)PA
4)NC
5)NV
6) GA
7)AZ

8) FLORIDA COME ON BABY!!!

lees1975

(6,133 posts)
10. My sister lives in Arizona, in a small town in a red county
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:15 PM
Oct 31

and she says the Democrats are out everywhere canvassing. They're getting a good reception in a couple of the Mormon communities in the area.

Funtatlaguy

(11,812 posts)
15. Hope they have many sister wives
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:31 PM
Oct 31

that all vote blue.
Well, I’m just sayin…those are my favorite reality tv shows.

Funtatlaguy

(11,812 posts)
13. I agree with confidence level.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:25 PM
Oct 31

Think we have better chance to win Texas than Florida.
Must win one of those Senate seats if Tester loses in Montana.

Tribetime

(6,418 posts)
16. Ill take that but I'm thinking all 7 battlegrounds and
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:48 PM
Oct 31

Texas and Florida within 1-2%..and bye bye Cruz

Dan

(4,168 posts)
17. I'm predicting....
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 02:53 PM
Oct 31

That Harris wins all swing states and adds Utah.

I'm going out and predicting that she wins Florida and Texas.

I think that the women's vote, military vote and young people's votes are going to be huge.

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