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Polybius

(18,526 posts) Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:11 PM Nov 5

Fun fact: This is the longest period in US history where a candidate for President hasn't won by double digits

It's been 40 years since it happened, when Reagan beat Mondale by 18.2%. Why doesn't it happen anymore? Will it ever happen again?

9 replies

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Fun fact: This is the longest period in US history where a candidate for President hasn't won by double digits (Original Post) Polybius Nov 5 OP

I'm hoping it happens tonight. FSogol Nov 5 #1

That's why I posted this Polybius Nov 5 #3

It may Metaphorical Nov 5 #2

A 10 percent gain is possible tonight pwb Nov 5 #4

The last three winners have won double digit EC votes...the ones that count. brush Nov 5 #5

Last 5 actually Polybius Nov 5 #6

Will never happen again... most divided the nation has been at least since 1860. WarGamer Nov 5 #7

It doesn't happen anymore because we're at peak tribalism. TwilightZone Nov 5 #8

Clinton came damn close in 1996 Polybius Nov 8 #9

FSogol

(46,769 posts)

1. I'm hoping it happens tonight.

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:15 PM

Nov 5

Polybius

(18,526 posts)

3. That's why I posted this

Reply to FSogol (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:16 PM

Nov 5

Reverse jinx effect.

Metaphorical

(2,351 posts)

2. It may

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:15 PM

Nov 5

The US goes through periods of polarization and depolarization. I think we're just past the point of maximum polarization and are beginning to shift in the other direction.

pwb

(12,207 posts)

4. A 10 percent gain is possible tonight

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:19 PM

Nov 5

IMO.

brush

(58,159 posts)

5. The last three winners have won double digit EC votes...the ones that count.

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:20 PM

Nov 5

The popular vote is nice but doesn't decide who won.

Polybius

(18,526 posts)

6. Last 5 actually

Reply to brush (Reply #5)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:23 PM

Nov 5

Last singe digit EV win was 2000, when Bush "won" by 5 EV's.

WarGamer

(15,816 posts)

7. Will never happen again... most divided the nation has been at least since 1860.

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:26 PM

Nov 5

I always laugh when politicians talk about "uniting" the country... lol.

TwilightZone

(28,834 posts)

8. It doesn't happen anymore because we're at peak tribalism.

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:34 PM

Nov 5

It probably won't happen again without a seismic shift in the political landscape. As long as greed, power, and bigotry are the purview of half the country, the status quo will remain.

Polybius

(18,526 posts)

9. Clinton came damn close in 1996

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #8)

Fri Nov 8, 2024, 12:03 PM

Nov 8

Clinton: 49.2%
Dole: 40.7%
Perot: 8.4%

Not sure who Perot took more votes away from.

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