General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSo what exactly happened to the much vaunted women's vote? The increased women doing early voting
and the skewing towards Harris? Did it just not hold up on election day?
I still don't know what happened to the Roe vote.
John2028
(17 posts)Good question
Colgate 64
(14,840 posts)Skittles
(158,672 posts)FUCK THEM
Kaleva
(38,066 posts)spooky3
(36,124 posts)Kaleva
(38,066 posts)spooky3
(36,124 posts)You're missing the point - why the sexist focus on white women, when far more white MEN vote for Trump? Dem policies help them as much or more as they help white women.
Kaleva
(38,066 posts)I'm not and neither should you because they are voting for their own self interest. I am surprised that a majority of white women did though because that seems to be them voting against their own self interest. Unless they prefer to be dominated by males.
Were you surprised by the white female vote and how it turned out?
Meadowoak
(6,209 posts)Blue_Roses
(13,383 posts)He's smart enough. And off the rails enough. But, how? Other than some gut feeling,
there is no factual proof.
Hypothetically, IF it was some nefarious stuff going on, I hope someone figures it out.
marybourg
(13,174 posts)out-polled Kamala in most cases. We were counting on her getting all the pro-choice votes.
SharonAnn
(13,876 posts)marybourg
(13,174 posts)Irish_Dem
(56,530 posts)SheltieLover
(59,538 posts)0rganism
(24,631 posts)I was initially surprised by the amount of split-ticket voting, but seems like there are sufficient reasons for it to happen. If some people disconnect the federal government's actions from their sudden need to protect women's health care at the state level yet link the federal government inextricably to higher retail gas and grocery prices, those people might just vote for the "change candidate" who's been advertising at them nonstop for the last 2 months. Obviously, such reasoning is deeply flawed but people do sometimes vote on the basis of gut feelings and vibes without strongly questioning the basis for said impressions.
But ~46% did.
Kaleva
(38,066 posts)iemanja
(54,728 posts)and it was a thin majority.
Dem4life1234
(1,500 posts)TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)Many GOP politicians were pushing early voting HARD in their states/districts, so the early voting wasn't nearly as heavily Democratic as many assumed.
In Florida, the GOP had a million-vote edge in early voting.
The Roe vote was highly overestimated. Many just assumed it would override other issues, and it clearly didn't. It was important, but not important enough to sway voters on other races. That was obvious in places like Florida, where the amendment got 58%, but Rs dominated.
cilla4progress
(25,865 posts)voting D.
And what about all the late breaking independent supposedly breaking our way?
Do putin and musk have the technology to fuck with our ballots?
Irish_Dem
(56,530 posts)We know they interfered in 2016.
And they did it again.
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)The one claim (10% of GOP voting for Harris) that most frequently made the rounds was based on faulty data. The source, some random guy on X, was trying to combine data from two different sources, but the datasets didn't match up, and he made some wrong assumptions in the calculations. Plus, one of the sources was a CNN poll of one state (AZ), and polls aren't real data and can't be extrapolated to other states or national figures.
Some real garbage made the rounds on DU the past couple weeks. It set up some very unrealistic expectations.
msfiddlestix
(7,788 posts)LymphocyteLover
(6,673 posts)TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)Trump got 53% of the white women vote. The GOP ramped up their early voting efforts.
The GOP had a one-million vote edge in early voting in Florida alone. They weren't all men, were they?
So, yeah, some of them voted for Trump. Is that supposed to be surprising?
cilla4progress
(25,865 posts)the enthusiasm gap?
DetroitLegalBeagle
(2,157 posts)n/t
jimfields33
(18,686 posts)Kaleva
(38,066 posts)I think it was based on the supposition that women would overwhelmingly vote for Harris.
cilla4progress
(25,865 posts)David Plouffe?
Fiendish Thingy
(18,387 posts)What youre hearing pundits talking about are just snippets of the exit data collected. Pew research interviews tens of thousands of voters after every election, and their exit poll analysis is seen as some of the most reliable.
But it takes time to compile and analyze.
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)Pew did an extremely solid, very informative breakdown of the 2020 election, but it took them months to compile.
I've probably referred to it 50 times this cycle.
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/
Kaleva
(38,066 posts)WhiskeyGrinder
(23,773 posts)Blue_Roses
(13,383 posts)and my daughters are white and we all voted for Harris. I have a highly educated republican friend who voted for Harris. Smart, educated women of all colors, shapes and sizes, voted for Harris. And I'm in a red state. Although, I agree, the "norm" is most wealthy white women vote for Trump.
WhiskeyGrinder
(23,773 posts)than Democratic. They've broken for the Dem only twice since 1960.
spooky3
(36,124 posts)Are a large part of the electorateI believe around 30%. In comparison, black women are about 6%. So even if Dems receive only 45% of that 30%, that is still a huge number of votes.
Just as we have to recognize that Latino and Latina voters are not monoliths, we have to do the same for all groups.
The vast majority of white women who support Repubs have been women without college degrees. (True also for white men.)
Wealthy white women, if that means the highest income groups, voted for Dems in the last two elections, if exit polls and other data are to be believed.
Finally, I dont know why there is so much focus on women as opposed to men, when we are asking why more did not support Dems. Many, if not most, Dem policies positively affect men as well as women. Why arent we asking what the problem is here, when there are far more male Republicans voters, who could potentially be flipped?
We need to stop alienating any potential supporters.
tenderfoot
(8,705 posts)eom
kwolf68
(7,875 posts)IN midterms people who vote are politically engaged, there is no freak show Presidential race, so serious thinkers come out and vote.
In the Prezzy election for the "lead rock star" a lot of dumbasses vote, thus serious and legitimate issues get pissed away.
Maybe I am wrong about this all.
LymphocyteLover
(6,673 posts)Self Esteem
(1,641 posts)I told people to temper their expectations based on turnout. High turnout was not necessarily a good thing for Democrats because that meant a lot of disengaged voters, who generally didn't vote, were being activated. Poll after poll after poll showed that Harris did well with voters who voted in 2020 and 2022, while Trump did exceptionally well with voters who didn't vote in 2022 but voted in 2020 - as well as "voters" who didn't vote in either of those elections.
That was Trump's target for his campaign and it worked. Turnout will be down from 2020 but I bet it's higher than 2016, which was higher than 2012.
The Democrats have built a coalition that is more engaged (typically college educated voters) and they'll come out in the midterms, while the average Republican voter might stay home. But in a general election? Those non-voters are more activated and super-charged to vote.
lindysalsagal
(22,365 posts)Self Esteem
(1,641 posts)But we have to understand that there's not an infinite amount of women voters. They make up roughly 50.4% of the overall US adult population and the past few elections, either 52 or 53 percent of the voting electorate. In 2020, it as 52. In 2024, it was 53.
The only way it was going to be larger is if men didn't vote - and they did.
Where Harris got burned is that more women voted for Trump than they did four years ago.
In 2020, Biden won the women vote 57-42. This time? Harris won it 53-45. It was actually the worst a Democrat has done among women voters since 2004.
And she did worse among men than Biden. Biden lost men by eight in 2020. Harris lost men by thirteen.
So, what happened? Abortion took a backseat to inflation.
All the talk about how women would Roe, Roe, Roe the vote and it never materialized.
Fish700
(63 posts)But the letdown sucks.
uponit7771
(91,670 posts)cadoman
(871 posts)The woman who has secured Roe-like rights in her own state but can't be bothered to fight for that nationally.
kelly1mm
(5,144 posts)out of the 'Roe vote's' sails. Some women (and men) saw they could ensure abortion access on the state level so they were not as motivated at the federal level to vote for VP Harris. Basically a FUIGM attitude .....
Now this ignores that that a federal ban or week limitation would overrule those protections but I actually believe President Trump will not pursue a federal ban/week restriction. However, the House at least will have a vote on it .....
DontBelieveEastisEas
(1,076 posts)LymphocyteLover
(6,673 posts)LisaL
(46,591 posts)More women voted than men. Both in 2020 and in 2024. There was a large gender gap in many states. But again, more white women voted for Trump than for Harris.
So having more women than men was not going to elect Harris. Unless all those women were minority women, which they were not.
DontBelieveEastisEas
(1,076 posts)Women early voted in 2020 at about the same rate. More women than men, but there was no increase.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219645763
spooky3
(36,124 posts)Have not been counted. So making cross year comparisons, for example, could be misleading right now.
DontBelieveEastisEas
(1,076 posts)uponit7771
(91,670 posts)DontBelieveEastisEas
(1,076 posts)WhiskeyGrinder
(23,773 posts)They saw themselves in the vivid and emotional abortion ads, but not other people.
LisaL
(46,591 posts)when more white women voted for Trump than Harris, that doesn't help, does it?
uponit7771
(91,670 posts)Response to LymphocyteLover (Original post)
Post removed
sky_masterson
(562 posts)nothing to see here
tenderfoot
(8,705 posts)is what happened.
sky_masterson
(562 posts)back when we were hopium drunk on numbers. 4 of my sisters voted for Trump(I wont be talking to them for at least another 5 years now), Many White Women vote for Trump. They dont care about his past.
They have their one or two issues and as long as he wins and pisses off/Hurts who they hate, they love him.
Three words that sum up this last Election:
THEY DON'T CARE.
LizBeth
(10,810 posts)they could see what happened. Because... fun.
LymphocyteLover
(6,673 posts)uponit7771
(91,670 posts)iemanja
(54,728 posts)And some probably felt they registered their views on abortion through the referenda.
Quiet Em
(890 posts)Why were they ok with this?