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Tommy Carcetti

(43,567 posts)
Tue Nov 12, 2024, 11:19 AM Nov 12

Trump's final popular vote will likely be under 50%.

Unlike in 2016, he'll still probably hold on as the popular vote winner, but his margin of victory will likely be smaller than Hillary's popular vote margin of victory over him in 2016.

Don't forget that in Trump's entire time as president, his polling average never exceeded 50%.

The majority of American people have still never supported Donald Trump to date.

Nate Silver, FWIW.


12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Trump's final popular vote will likely be under 50%. (Original Post) Tommy Carcetti Nov 12 OP
I thought there were 10 million fewer voters this time? displacedvermoter Nov 12 #1
That was before all CA ballots came in. Cattledog Nov 12 #2
It took almost a week to Progressive dog Nov 12 #4
He must have access to an updated tally I cannot find. The latest I found is Trump 75M Harris 72 M surfered Nov 12 #3
Well if it is true it shoots that collapse of the Democratic Party story displacedvermoter Nov 12 #5
The fucking third party votes do it every single time. Initech Nov 12 #6
If every single third party voter had voted for Harris, Mariana Nov 12 #7
Perhaps, but without Trump claiming a 'mandate' mzmolly Nov 12 #8
He would have claimed a mandate no matter what. Ace Rothstein Nov 12 #11
And why help him in that regard? mzmolly Nov 12 #12
Yes Dem4life1234 Nov 12 #10
This was not a landslide LetMyPeopleVote Nov 12 #9

displacedvermoter

(3,100 posts)
5. Well if it is true it shoots that collapse of the Democratic Party story
Tue Nov 12, 2024, 11:58 AM
Nov 12

right on the ass. The Electoral College makes the defeat look worse than it does, and some 50 percent of the voters backed Harris. A narrow popular vote win -- at best -- not the crushing mandate Trump and the Times Editorial Board will insist it was.

Lots of gnashing of teeth led by the usual media suspects.

Initech

(102,079 posts)
6. The fucking third party votes do it every single time.
Tue Nov 12, 2024, 12:05 PM
Nov 12

There's a special place in hell for Jill Stein and Cornell West because of this.

Mariana

(15,158 posts)
7. If every single third party voter had voted for Harris,
Tue Nov 12, 2024, 12:28 PM
Nov 12

Trump would still have won the Electoral College vote.

Dem4life1234

(1,872 posts)
10. Yes
Tue Nov 12, 2024, 06:53 PM
Nov 12

Throughout his tenure, that piece of shit never reached 50% approval.

He has no mandate.
And likely his number is lower due to voter suppression efforts and jackasses voting third party like spoiled little brats.

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