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elleng

(137,575 posts)
Wed Nov 27, 2024, 11:18 PM Nov 27

WOW, the numbers in the House, AMAZINGLY close, and may still get CLOSER, within 1 or 2 of a majority!

Last edited Thu Nov 28, 2024, 01:33 AM - Edit history (1)

Just listing to C. Hayes discussing w Jasmine Crockett.

HOUSE SPECIAL ELECTION fund! Repugs WORKING on them!

The Voter Protection Project

(www.protectvoting.org)


16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
WOW, the numbers in the House, AMAZINGLY close, and may still get CLOSER, within 1 or 2 of a majority! (Original Post) elleng Nov 27 OP
Not really. There will be special elections to refill the seats vacated by nominees. RockRaven Nov 27 #1
Please stick to football because you're depressing me😞 arthritisR_US Nov 27 #2
Right, how about Dems look to PICK UP those seats, elleng Nov 27 #3
I cannot disagree mate! arthritisR_US Nov 28 #4
At most the margin will be 5. Closer than it was in the last session. onecaliberal Nov 28 #12
My dream, my wish! arthritisR_US Nov 28 #5
Recommended. H2O Man Nov 28 #6
In all likelihood, the final total will be 220 R, 215 D. onenote Nov 28 #7
So we'll just need to net +3 in 2026 to take back the House? Rstrstx Nov 28 #8
YES, IMO, elleng Nov 28 #9
Ammunition OhioBack2Blue Nov 28 #15
YES, AOC noted SUCH!!! HUGE flip in the past! elleng Nov 28 #10
Here's the video for those who missed it, the numbers discussion is at 5:16: Rhiannon12866 Nov 28 #11
All the elections to fill vacancies Old Crank Nov 28 #13
2 years, any bets on WHETHER it will be enough? elleng Nov 28 #14
The good news is that part of their majority is made up of Freedom Caucus assholes Midnight Writer Nov 28 #16

RockRaven

(16,708 posts)
1. Not really. There will be special elections to refill the seats vacated by nominees.
Wed Nov 27, 2024, 11:49 PM
Nov 27

The time it takes will vary by state, but the seats won't be vacant for long. The water will find its level sooner than later.

And the vote margin in the House is always variable throughout the term anyway, with 435 seats generally held by older people and no appointments possible. So the vote margin today isn't the vote margin tomorrow, never mind the whole term as a rule.

onenote

(44,907 posts)
7. In all likelihood, the final total will be 220 R, 215 D.
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 12:23 AM
Nov 28

For a period of time, pending the outcome of special elections to fill the seats being vacated by Gaetz, Stefanik and Waltz, it will be 217, 215D. Alll three of the special elections are in districts that the R's won with over 60 percent of the vote, which means, being realistic, all three will stay in repub hands. The only one that i could even conceive of flipping is Stefanik's district in New York, which is only rated R+4, although the fact she got 62% of the vote suggests it might be a tough race to flip.

Rstrstx

(1,578 posts)
8. So we'll just need to net +3 in 2026 to take back the House?
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 12:27 AM
Nov 28

Sounds more than do-able, didn’t we flip like 40 in 2018?

elleng

(137,575 posts)
9. YES, IMO,
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 12:32 AM
Nov 28

MORE than do-able, and note during the 1-2 years, repugs will be wrecking things, so we'll actually have AMMUNITION!!!

OhioBack2Blue

(44 posts)
15. Ammunition
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 04:02 AM
Nov 28

We just had motherloads of ammo against Excrement & co. and Plouffe barely used any. 🤬

Rhiannon12866

(226,682 posts)
11. Here's the video for those who missed it, the numbers discussion is at 5:16:
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 01:13 AM
Nov 28



'Buckle up, Buttercup': Rep. Crockett sounds alarm over Trump economic agenda - All In - MSNBC
https://democraticunderground.com/132136058

Old Crank

(5,147 posts)
13. All the elections to fill vacancies
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 01:45 AM
Nov 28

Will be after Trump is inaugurated. His policies, anf tariffs might help.
Might not be enough so soon though.

elleng

(137,575 posts)
14. 2 years, any bets on WHETHER it will be enough?
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 01:49 AM
Nov 28

Last edited Thu Nov 28, 2024, 02:24 AM - Edit history (1)

His policies, anf tariffs SURE as hell SHOULD help, no lily-livered MIGHT help! (Sorry, Crank, THAT's the way it MUST be!)

The People OVER the Plutocrats.

WHO SHOULD LEAD THE PARTY???

Midnight Writer

(23,320 posts)
16. The good news is that part of their majority is made up of Freedom Caucus assholes
Thu Nov 28, 2024, 09:10 AM
Nov 28

who will seemingly block anything on a whim.

Look for a push for a government shutdown very early on.

They may seem to goosestep in order, but their party is all about chaos and confusion.

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