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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBlue Alert: Why Democrats are poised to win in 2028 and 2032
The Republican Party will find itself at a critical crossroads as the 2028 election approaches.
Despite the doom and gloom narrative from Democrats, they are in a far stronger position than many in the GOP would care to admit. In fact, we believe Democrats are poised as favorites not only for 2028 but also for 2032. The reasons for this go beyond rhetoric — they are deeply rooted in history and strategic realities.
The Democrats’ potential dream team could be Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) at the top of the ticket with Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) as his running mate. This pairing isn’t just formidable — it’s a strategic masterpiece. Together, Shapiro and Whitmer have the appeal to solidify the so-called blue wall — the trio of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin that has been pivotal in presidential elections since George H.W. Bush’s victory in 1988.
History shows that winning these three states essentially guarantees the presidency. This ticket would energize suburban voters, particularly women, and strengthen turnout in urban centers, creating an electoral map that leaves the GOP with few viable paths to victory.
Read more: https://thehill.com/opinion/5105555-democrats-poised-to-win-2028-election/
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BOSSHOG
(40,997 posts)The way trump is going, Democrats will probably start winning by Mardi Gras this year. Not in elections of course. But his shit will start stinking real quick. Or I’m wrong about our team in Washington. I don’t think I’m wrong.
JustAnotherGen
(34,345 posts)Mealy mouthed platitudes from D.C.
I need to start reading and hearing "This lawless rigged Admin . . ."
orangecrush
(23,054 posts)![](/emoticons/party.gif)
Pris
(53 posts)Equality is essential for democracy and the solid history of male presidents is calcifying and stagnant.
Women have lost rights and we shouldn't have. We lost because women lack power in the USA
BannonsLiver
(18,648 posts)delisen
(6,774 posts)If we do not secure voting beyond a shadow of a doubt, we will lose every election.
LakeArenal
(29,935 posts)Polybius
(19,119 posts)The final week of the election it was as much of a toss-up as there has ever been in recent memory. I predicted Harris wins with 286 EV's to Trump's 252, and I was laughed at. The real truth is that I flipped NC that day to be more optimistic, otherwise my prediction would have been 268-270.
DetroitLegalBeagle
(2,271 posts)Reapportionment projections show southern states and a couple red mountain states gaining enough seats/EV's and solid Blue states losing enough, that the republicans could win the Presidency without any of the Blue wall states.
SKKY
(12,376 posts)I'm not asking to be pithy, I'm genuinely curious.
In 2024, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris could have won the Electoral College by winning the states she carried, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District (Nebraska allocates some electoral votes by district), plus the so-called Blue Wall battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
By 2032, that strategy would no longer work. Given the shift of electoral votes to the South, even if a Democrat in 2032 were to carry the Blue Wall states and both Arizona and Nevada, the result would be only a narrow 276–262 win.
SKKY
(12,376 posts)...considered the eventual shift of Texas to blue, or at the very least purple.
Self Esteem
(1,931 posts)A lot of the people abandoning places like California, which is a state hemorrhaging in domestic population shifts, are conservative-leaning and going to places like Idaho and Texas.
Where that hurts is that California continues to shrink and soon will lose electoral votes (as many as four is being projected), while Texas and Florida continue to gain. This also means fewer congressional seats as well.
So, California might actually become more liberal but smaller, while Texas becomes larger but more conservative as it attracts California refugees.
2024 was the first election since the COVID exodus hit California hard and Texas shifted FAR to the right compared to where they had been the last few elections. Harris lost the state by 14 points in 2024. In 2020, Biden only lost it by a little over five points.
Harris lost the state by the largest margin since Obama in 2012.
Democrats have to figure things out because the EC map is a disaster for them after the 2028 election.
Celerity
(47,847 posts)will flow into Red-controlled states that will gerrymander the fuck out of them to favour the Rethugs
DetroitLegalBeagle
(2,271 posts)Plus their structural advantage in the Senate already gives them an easier path to a majority in that chamber.
SocialDemocrat61
(3,460 posts)He’d never get the nomination. And VP picks don’t guarantee a state, that’s a myth.
JI7
(91,311 posts)SocialDemocrat61
(3,460 posts)Comparing college students to the KKK.
There are a number of issues with Shapiro.
dsc
(52,789 posts)I would support him in a general but a primary is vastly different.
republianmushroom
(18,706 posts)elocs
(23,230 posts)Now if you can only get complacent Democrats to care enough to get out and vote.
Frankly, I still wonder where those 7 million votes that Biden got in 2020 but Harris didn't get in '24 went because we sure could have used them.
pinkstarburst
(1,602 posts)I think he seems like a perfectly okay guy, but if he weren't from Pennsylvania, I don't think he'd even be part of a national conversation anywhere, and I really don't like choosing candidates for that reason.