The greatest presidential predictor has made his FINAL pick for Trump vs. Harris: Who will win?
Source: NJ.com
By Kevin Manahan | NJ Advance Media for NJ.com
The polls are tight and many are considered fake. The betting markets reportedly are rigged. So, who is a voter to believe when searching for a prediction on who will be elected president on Nov. 5: Vice President Kamala Harris or former president Donald Trump?
Well, so-called presidential election Nostradamus who has nailed every presidential election except one since 1984, is sticking with the pick he made months ago, when the polls were against her.
Harris will beat Trump on Tuesday, said Allan Lichtman who predicted Trump would win in 2016, when most national polls showed Hillary Clinton far ahead and that Trump would lose against Joe Biden in 2020, told USA Today.
Nothing has changed to change my prediction that I made on Sept. 5, in defiance of the polls, Lichtman said in a YouTube video.
Read more: https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/11/the-greatest-presidential-predictor-has-made-his-final-pick-for-trump-vs-harris-who-will-win.html
Rachel M at 6 pm
(137 posts)Lichtman is known for correctly predicting every election from 1984 through 2020, with the exception of Bush-Gore in 2000.
From Wikipedia:
"The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 Keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. ... The system is a thirteen-point checklist that uses true-or-false statements: when five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the nominee of the incumbent party is predicted to win the election, but when six or more items on the checklist are false, the nominee of the challenging party is predicted to win."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House
Native
(6,666 posts)TexasBushwhacker
(20,711 posts)dchill
(40,647 posts)IbogaProject
(3,710 posts)So his model couldn't predict that B$ in Florida sending to the SC. Gore actually got more votes in Fl in 2000.
LastLiberal in PalmSprings
(12,936 posts)The square where the bird poops will predict the winner. It's as accurate as most of the polls I've seen. Chicken Poop Bingo
Polybius
(18,108 posts)NJ.com is making it sound like he made it today.
Native
(6,666 posts)Polybius
(18,108 posts)I just don't agree that standing by a prediction is news again. Also, he has always stood by his predictions.
Whatthe_Firetruck
(605 posts)Mid to low information voters weren't paying attention.
This close to the election, more people are looking at predictions so it's relevant again.
onetexan
(13,911 posts)Harris Walz the past couple weeks. He's been unwavering in his prediction.
Polybius
(18,108 posts)I watch it too. His son has been trained well.
EllieBC
(3,381 posts)The wiki link is pretty cool at explaining how he comes to his conclusions and predictions.
Beartracks
(13,606 posts)I'm still smarting from going to bed confident in 2016 and waking up in an alternate timeline where the dumbest moron of a Republican got put in the White House.
=================
PoindexterOglethorpe
(26,771 posts)It's actually been posted before on DU, and absolutely bears repeating.
KS Toronado
(19,633 posts)These betting sites are saying TSF is going to win the election but Kamala will win the popular vote.
For every dollar one bets on Kamala they'll give you approximately $2.50 if she does win. That's more
than double your money.
If they are betting on him winning the swing states using some reQublican underhandedness they
are forgetting Biden's newfound powers of immunity from the SCOTUS.
angrychair
(9,811 posts)When we vote, we win.
TommieMommy
(1,174 posts)LudwigPastorius
(10,956 posts)Get out the vote!