BTRTN: An Analytical View of Who Will Win the Presidency
Born To Run The Numbers' Tom tells readers who he thinks will win -- and offers a detailed explanation why.
https://borntorunthenumbers.com/2024/09/22/btrtn-an-analytical-view-of-who-will-win-the-presidency/
Excerpts: "A friend asked me the other day who I thought was going to win the election. He did not want a 'BTRTN prediction' which he knows will not come until the night before Election Day. He just wanted to know who I thought would win – and why. Specifically, what evidence supported my answer.
I answered: “Kamala Harris.” And here’s why (see post for detailed analysis of each point):
--The debate aftermath.
--Momentum.
--Trump's low ceiling.
--Harris's high ceiling
--Path
--Trump campaigning
--Trump and his message
--Economy
--Immigration
--Abortion
--Republicans being Republican
--Money
--Ground game