COVID outbreak sweeps through Sonoma County homeless shelter, including many vaccinated residents

[TexasTowelie]

At least 59 residents at Sonoma County’s largest homeless shelter have tested positive for the coronavirus, with another possible 26 positive cases, county officials said on Wednesday.

Nearly half of those who tested positive were fully vaccinated, said Dr. Sundari Mase, the county’s health officer.

The shelter first reported 20 positive cases July 2. Since then, more than a third of the 156 residents at Samuel L. Jones Hall in Santa Rosa have tested positive.

So far, nine of the individuals who were part of the outbreak have been hospitalized, including six who were fully vaccinated and had “multiple, significant” underlying health problems, officials said. Four have since been discharged, and five remain hospitalized.

Read more: https://www.sfchronicle.com/health/article/COVID-outbreak-sweeps-through-Sonoma-County-16315571.php

[Hugh_Lebowski]

1. Very difficult to fully parse these numbers and unfortunately it's paywalled ...

Best case scenario is, of 59 people, almost half were fully vaccinated. Meaning around 28?

6 who went to hospital were fully vaccinated, but all had significant health problems.

Nonetheless, 4 of those 6 (this part is frustratingly non-specific) have been discharged (again, best case).

So two of 28 fully-vaccinated homeless people, or 1 in 14, if they have significant health problems, will spend at least 1 day in the hospital ... PRESUMABLY from COVID, although that is not actually specified.

Would like to see more of this article to see if there's more useful statistical details.

Taken as a totality though, I have to say I'm having less and less confidence in the efficacy of the vaccine for people who aren't otherwise healthy, and given that it was already (before the vaccine) mostly people who weren't healthy who were dying of covid ...

I don't regret getting it in any case, but worrying at this point that we may all be a bit overconfident as to how well it works ... esp. if you're going to be in close proximity to a population where only 1/2 of you ... are vaccinated.

[TexasTowelie]

2. You might want to paste the link into a different browser.

I didn't run into a paywall when I found the article.

[JohnSJ]

3. Yes it is. One point is most of vaccinated received the single-shot JNJ dose. There is also

a lot of other variables that are not easy to decipher from this article, and unfortunately that is the way most of these "break-through" stories are always reported, leaving out too many details.

This article is actually better than most.

"Mase said most of the vaccinated residents at the homeless shelter had received the single-shot Johnson & Johnson dose, but she did not know if that was a factor in the outbreak."