California
Related: About this forumHow are you planning to vote in the recall?
Of course, I'm voting to keep Newsom, but I also have to pick a replacement. Stephanie Miller keeps talking about a talk radio host who sounds awful. I'd like to make sure it isn't him.
SoCalDavidS
(10,599 posts)If Newsom gets recalled, we're Fucked. One of the repub nutjobs will win, just no idea which one it will be. Right now, Larry Elder is the frontrunner.
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)Which I dont think it will
I think the polls are messed up, and making false assumptions about low voter turnout, and not considering that every registered voter in California will get a postage paid envelope to mail their ballot. They dont have to go to the polls
https://www.lamag.com/citythinkblog/kevin-paffrath-recall/
SoCalDavidS
(10,599 posts)I stand by what I said. If Newsom is recalled, we're Fucked.
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)Newsom isn't going to be recalled, but it doesn't hurt to have insurance.
I am very skeptical of the polls, and the media coverage of this recall.
One poll had the recall winning by 11 points, which was probably an outlier, since other pollsters are marking it as a dead heat, but I question even those.
I think assumptions are being made which have a good chance of being wrong.
The media keeps pushing the theme that republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats, and that special elections "always" have low turnouts
The fact that 45% of the registered voters are Democrats, and something like 23% are republicans should provide an advantage to us. In addition, all registered voters will receive a postage paid mail in ballot, so the voter doesn't even have to go to the polls to vote. Just drop it in the mail box, or a drop box.
California insures all votes get counted
SoCalDavidS
(10,599 posts)I did not realize that, so I will definitely put in a vote for him on the 2nd question.
It's going to come down to turnout, so hopefully every eligible Democrat returns their ballot.
brush
(57,509 posts)Number one is to say "NO" to the recall. If you check that box you're done. Put the ballot in the envelope and mail it back.
If you go to the second item and pick a name, you're playing into the recall republicans game. And you just might invalidate your own ballot since you check both reponses.
Check only the first item, the "No" on recall to keep Newson.
SoCalDavidS
(10,599 posts)I was led to believe you are voting on 2 different things. First the recall, and then who will replace Newsom if the recall passes.
They seemed mutually exclusive, meaning you could vote in the 2nd issue, just in case the 1st one passes.
wryter2000
(47,459 posts)Two separate votes. If there is a Dem running, I'd like to vote for them over Larry Elder. Stephanie Miller has worked in some proximity to him, and he sounds like a perv.
brush
(57,509 posts)That means there's no need to go further. I read the instructions.
jxla
(224 posts)Recall ballots have two parts. Must voters vote on both parts of the recall ballot?
No. Voters can vote on either one or both parts of the recall ballot. A voter can vote no to the question of removing the current elected officer from office and also select a replacement candidate.
BigmanPigman
(52,256 posts)brush
(57,509 posts)That makes no sense.
The Mouth
(3,285 posts)The same reason I carry a spare tire. Why do I need a 5th tire?
brush
(57,509 posts)The Mouth
(3,285 posts)And if it was a matter of life and death, give me both - *AND* sexy, stylish undies, too!
brush
(57,509 posts)Zorro
(16,295 posts)and also vote for his potential replacement.
There's no restriction on voting on both items.
brush
(57,509 posts)to someone else to replace him?
You don't have to vote on the second part. If you want him to stay, just vote "NO" on the recall.
Zorro
(16,295 posts)Last edited Thu Aug 12, 2021, 08:26 PM - Edit history (1)
I'm not willing to disinfranchise myself by not voting for a potential replacement. There are some that are less bad than others.
brush
(57,509 posts)You're voting for Newsom.
Mr.Bill
(24,790 posts)You will not invalidate your no vote on the recall if you select another candidate.
BootinUp
(49,023 posts)Ok?
MontanaMama
(24,023 posts)so that a democratic replacement can be appointed. Her Senate seat is why repukes have their panties all bunched up over Newsom.
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)than Sanders or Leahy or any other older Democratic Senator with a Republican governor
The thing Californians will focus on is voting NO on question 1 of our ballot
We can handle out voting quite will thank-you
Merlot
(9,696 posts)with her and her selfishness.
Mr.Bill
(24,790 posts)the state legislature could pass a law that any governor appointing anyone to Congress must pick someone from the same political party that vacated the office. Easy fix, actually. We have supermajorities in both houses of the legislature so the new Governor couldn't even make a veto hold up. In fact, he won't be able to do much of anything, except what republicans are good at. Shoot their mouths off and make fools of themselves. Long term, this will be the final nail in the coffin of the republican party in California.
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)be recalled
intrepidity
(7,892 posts)Allowing 12% of the voters to decide to have a recall vote seems highly undemocratic and long past-due reform.
An ounce of prevention..
Why haven't they acted on that matter, since they are so powerful?
Mr.Bill
(24,790 posts)While I don't know exactly what that entails, it's probably more difficult than just passing a new law. Maybe we will find out soon.
chowder66
(9,816 posts)Voting NO is a vote for Newsom therefore you shouldn't select another candidate.
If he loses, he will in all likelihood lose to the Republican front runner anyway. This is because Democrats have no clear front runner and that will split the vote across the candidates leading Larry Elder to a win. So it's basically a moot point.
And as you said....
"If Newsom was recalled, the state legislature could pass a law that any governor appointing anyone to Congress must pick someone from the same political party that vacated the office. Easy fix, actually. We have supermajorities in both houses of the legislature so the new Governor couldn't even make a veto hold up. In fact, he won't be able to do much of anything, except what republicans are good at. Shoot their mouths off and make fools of themselves. Long term, this will be the final nail in the coffin of the republican party in California."
I've decided that I'm not going to choose a replacement. Either he beats this or we get a pretty ineffectual Republican for just over a year.
Does that sum it up or am I still not getting this?
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)Look at Kevin Paffrath, a Democrat who I think has our best chance
https://www.lamag.com/citythinkblog/kevin-paffrath-recall/
intrepidity
(7,892 posts)I assume so, but just checking.
Mr.Bill
(24,790 posts)brush
(57,509 posts)if you want Newsom to stay.
Mr.Bill
(24,790 posts)I just said you can.
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)we want an insurance policy just in case
intrepidity
(7,892 posts)and vote "Yes" with a liberal replacement, thinking that it is safe to do so.
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)what they are doing
brush
(57,509 posts)The Mouth
(3,285 posts)You can vote 'NO' *AND* vote for a replacement in case it passes.
Stop the factual inaccuracy.
If you don't want to vote for a 'D' as back-up, then DON'T, but *stop* the false information.
brush
(57,509 posts)you want to keep Newsom. And FYI: Saying to vote "NO" on recall and you're done is not disinformation as it's true if you want to keep Newsom.
I give you that you're right about one can check a candidate on the second item on the ballot. I found that out later. But I still say the less people who go along with the tricky ballot and mark for someone else, the more chance there is of someone who gains only 15% or 20 or 25% of the vote can become governor because if not enough people vote "NO", the candidate with the most votes on Item 2 on the ballot wins. Remember, the whole thing is a republican-ginned up effort. The best thing to do if you're a Democrat and want to keep the Democratic governor is to vote for Newsom by voting "NO" on Item 1 on the recall ballot.
Here's another perspective of it.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100215734780
The Mouth
(3,285 posts)I'm talking worst case scenario- a 'yes' outcome. But the only 'silver lining' being that the repukes split their vote more than we do so at least we end up with a Democratic governor anyway.
I don't want to change a tire, but I carry a flat.
Your opinion on voting no is, of course, completely valid; but you stating and not retracting factual inaccuracies can't stand unchallenged IMHO.
Regards.
Plus it would be a small consolation to watch Republican heads explode if the recall passes and we still have a Democratic governor.
brush
(57,509 posts)But we're on the same page on this. As for your last paragraph, I'll pass.
Have a good day.
quaint
(3,546 posts)JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)chowder66
(9,816 posts)Just vote no.
It's a moot point to vote for anyone else.
CaliforniaPeggy
(152,095 posts)As to who to vote for, I believe that our current governor has a second-in-command person who might run for the governor's post.
It's a woman, and I can't remember her name or official title!
JohnSJ
(96,541 posts)a candidate so we don't default to one of the crazies.
You might want to look at Kevin Paffrath, a Democrat, since he is within the MOE of the leading alternatives.
Of course we are all voting NO on question 1, which if the recall fails makes question 2
irrelevent
brush
(57,509 posts)as that's what the recall republicans want voters to do. It's a completely unfair recall process as there are so many other candidates on the ballot, someone with 20 percent or less of the voters may become governor.
If you check "NO", again, you're done. Just mail the ballot back.
Vote no and were done.
brush
(57,509 posts)you might cancel out your ballot. It's tricky how these republicans have set up the ballot.
I mean if you want Newsom to stay, why give a vote to someone to replace him? It's tricky.
chowder66
(9,816 posts)A NO vote is a vote FOR Newsom. There is no need to vote for anyone else.
See my post #44. I hope it makes sense.
kysrsoze
(6,142 posts)chowder66
(9,816 posts)louslobbs
(3,416 posts)As soon as we receive the ballots, we are to open the envelope and vote to keep Governor Newsom. No throwing the ballot on the counter and getting to it later. Not one person I deal with on a daily basis, is going to ignore this ballot. We all know its the trump cult and anti vaxer, Qjerks who are trying to rig California. Not gonna happen .