Over a Quarter of SF Voters Still Undecided, But Breed and Farrell Still Lead Mayor's Race In New Poll
Former Supervisor and (briefly) Mayor Mark Farrell leads incumbent Mayor London Breed by the slimmest of margins in a new poll, with Daniel Lurie and Supervisors Aaron Peskin and Asha Safai trailing. But over a quarter of voters polled said they were still undecided about the race.
This is the first time in many years that San Francisco will have a mayoral election in the same cycle as a national general election, which will hopefully mean more voter turnout and a more competitive race all around. And San Francisco's ranked-choice voting system is sure to keep us from a definitive answer about who our next mayor will be for at least a week after the election occurs, if not more.
KRON4 just conducted their own poll, in conjunction with Emerson College, which found that Mark Farrell would take 20.6% of first-choice votes if the election were held today, and Breed would take 20.3% — a statistically insignificant difference given a margin of error of 3.5%.
Daniel Lurie trails behind with 17.5% of first-choice votes, but he could be a dark-horse contender via ranked choice — he takes 21% of the second-choice votes in this poll, which is well above Breed's 12.8% and Farrell's 14.7%. That could easily catapult him into leading position as the ranked-choice rounds shake out, especially if those who are undecided start to favor him.
https://sfist.com/2024/09/10/over-a-quarter-of-sf-voters-still-undecided-but-breed-and-farrell-still-lead-mayors-race-in-new-poll/