Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in Florida, but not among those whose ballots are already cast

[RandySF]

Republican Donald Trump holds a lead in the contest for Florida’s electoral votes, but Democrat Kamala Harris is ahead among voters whose ballots are already in.

That’s according to a new survey by St. Pete Polls, conducted for Florida Politics. The poll found more than 50% of likely voters in the Sunshine State intend to back Trump for President for a third consecutive time. Meanwhile, under 45% support Harris. Nearly 3% will vote for another candidate.

Pollsters report a 2.8-percentage-point margin of error. The results suggest why the onetime battleground has increasingly been viewed as a Republican-leaning state in this year’s presidential race.

The poll of 1,227 likely Florida voters was conducted from Oct. 23 through 25. Results were weighted to reflect an electorate that’s 41% Republican, 34% Democrat and 25% other voters.

Conducted roughly halfway through early voting in most parts of the state, about half the respondents in the poll had already cast their ballots either through early voting or by mail.



https://floridapolitics.com/archives/703816-donald-trump-leads-kamala-harris-in-florida-but-not-among-those-whose-ballots-are-already-cast/

[pat_k]

1. A meaningful number of people saying they support Trump won't come through.

When it comes time to actually cast their ballot, some will simply be unable to stomach it. Those who are ambivalent are procrastinating. Could as much as 5% of his support evaporate:? Perhaps not that much. But, ya know what? Maybe. Just Maybe.