Nunn leading in new poll

[Brainstormy]

Apparently those attack ads aren't working.

August 23, 2014


According to the latest poll, released Friday evening, measuring support in the U.S. Senate race in Georgia, Democrat Michelle Nunn leads her Republican challenger David Perdue by seven points. The survey was conducted by the Landmark Communications firm for WSB-TV.

The results of the poll show Nunn with 47 percent of the vote, Perdue with 40 percent, and Libertarian Amanda Swafford with 3 percent. Just 10 percent were still undecided, according to the survey. The poll included 600 “active Georgia voters” and has a +/- 4 percent margin of error.


http://www.examiner.com/article/new-georgia-poll-michelle-nunn-d-leading-david-perdue-r-u-s-senate-race

[CurtEastPoint]

1. PLEASE let it be so! She's no liberal but she's no Repube, either.

[Hoppy]

2. It ain't who gets the most votes. Its who counts the votes.

[TlalocW]

3. So it's tied?

You misspelled none by the way.

TlalocW

[hueymahl]

5. Not exactly

The apparently contradictory polls are interesting in part because of the underlying methodology. The one with Carter/Nunn ahead uses a combination of live polling (when calling cell phones) and IVR (when calling landlines). The one with Deal/Purdue ahead uses IVR and internet polls. Generally internet polls are less reliable, though they are improving and can often be used to make polls more accurate when used in a limited capacity in connection with traditional methods.

But here is the really interesting part - the assumptions. And the assumption that jumped out at me was the poll favorable to Deal/Purdue assumed only 26% of the electorate would be black. The poll favorable to Carter/Nunn used a number closer to the historic average - 29%.

[groundloop]

6. If our GOPers have anything to do with it the black vote WILL be low this year

Reduced hours for early voting, long lines at predominantly minority precincts, "poll watchers" to intimidate minority voters.....

[groundloop]

4. I feel like Perdue's attack ads are a huge turn off

I think people are getting tire of the same old stale attacks with claims which are just too far fetched to be believable. The fact that there's a Libertarian in the race doesn't hurt either.

Anyway, this is great news. Hopefully Carter can pull off a win also.