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question everything

(48,839 posts)
Fri Dec 21, 2018, 12:21 AM Dec 2018

New population estimates a positive sign for Minnesota's political clout

Strong population growth in the last two years makes it more likely that Minnesota will retain its eight U.S. House seats after the 2020 census.

But U.S. Census Bureau estimates of state populations released Wednesday show that the state is still at risk of losing a representative in Washington because other states are growing even faster.

“It’s still very close,” said Minnesota State Demographer Susan Brower. “But the numbers are going in the direction we would hope they go.”

She’s encouraged by recent increases in the migration of residents from other states.

http://www.startribune.com/new-population-estimates-a-positive-sign-for-minnesota-s-political-clout/503150661/

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But, from AP

Despite population growth, Minnesota could lose House seat

ST. PAUL, Minn. — New figures from the U.S. Census Bureau show Minnesota's population continues to grow. But the state demographer warns Minnesota could lose a congressional seat after the 2020 census.

According to the Census Bureau, Minnesota's population grew by 43,000 people between 2017 and 2018. That puts the state's population over 5.6 million.

It's the second consecutive year that state-to-state migration has meant a net gain of residents to Minnesota. That's after 15 years of consecutive net losses before 2017.

State Demographer Susan Brower says Minnesota's population growth over the past year is strong for a Midwestern state. But Brower warns that other regions are growing faster than the Midwest, and that Minnesota could lose a congressional seat.

The 2020 census will determine the number of Minnesota's seats in the U.S. House.

http://www.startribune.com/despite-population-growth-minnesota-could-lose-house-seat/503152592/

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toss a coin?

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New population estimates a positive sign for Minnesota's political clout (Original Post) question everything Dec 2018 OP
Would it be so bad to lose the 6th? LakeSuperiorView Jan 2019 #1
Would be nice but, of course, the lines would be drawn and that area question everything Jan 2019 #2
The 6th is the least compact, so it would likely go and the area be absorbed into the surrounding LakeSuperiorView Jan 2019 #3

question everything

(48,839 posts)
2. Would be nice but, of course, the lines would be drawn and that area
Thu Jan 3, 2019, 04:52 PM
Jan 2019

around St. Cloud will remain strong R. I think that Emmer won with the highest margin this past November.



 

LakeSuperiorView

(1,533 posts)
3. The 6th is the least compact, so it would likely go and the area be absorbed into the surrounding
Thu Jan 3, 2019, 04:59 PM
Jan 2019

districts. The districts immediately south of the 6th would likely drift north a bit, giving their southernmost areas up to other districts. And some renumbering would be likely - it doesn't make sense to have the 7th and 8th without a 6th.

But if we have to lose a district, getting rid of the gerrymandered 6th would be some solace.

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