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sarisataka

(21,002 posts)
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:31 PM Oct 2020

'It's a statistical tie': Race for US Senate neck and neck less than week before election

'It's a statistical tie': Race for US Senate neck and neck less than week before election

"It's a statistical tie," said Kathryn Pearson, University of Minnesota associate professor of political science. Pearson is referring to the U.S. Senate race between Democratic incumbent Tina Smith and Republican opponent Jason Lewis. It's a dead heat less than a week before the election.

"I think Senator Smith has the advantage of having served in the senate for around three years, having been all over the state campaigning, and Jason Lewis is, of course, well known to voters in Minnesota's second district, as he served as the second district representative in Congress for two years, but it's harder for him to gain recognition across the state," Pearson said.

Smith criticized President Donald Trump's administration for doing too little to combat the coronavirus pandemic, early on, saying, "What I think we need to do is ... have a strong national strategy and national effort to make sure that we've got tests and rapid tests in many places and that we have a strong robust effort to do contact tracing."

Lewis said, "The best thing we can do is make certain we protect the vulnerable, primarily people who are elderly and have underlying conditions ... We are locking down the young and the healthy ... That's a total mismanagement."
https://kstp.com/politics/its-a-statistical-tie-race-for-us-senate-neck-and-neck-less-than-week-before-election/5911593/?cat=1

It will be shameful if we lose the seat Frankin won, and Smith has been a worthy successor, to Lewis.
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'It's a statistical tie': Race for US Senate neck and neck less than week before election (Original Post) sarisataka Oct 2020 OP
I'm skeptical of reports coming out of KSTP - The Velveteen Ocelot Oct 2020 #1
'CCO also called it a toss up sarisataka Oct 2020 #6
BTW, 538 has Smith with a 93% win probability, and a likely margin of +12... regnaD kciN Oct 2020 #2
Doesn't sound like a statistical tie to me. The Velveteen Ocelot Oct 2020 #3
Huh? Why would an incumbent Democrat be in a tie in PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2020 #4
It's bullshit. It's KSTP. The Velveteen Ocelot Oct 2020 #5
I just got an email from Smith, titled "falling behind" question everything Oct 2020 #7
She has been sending out "falling behind" emails for at least a couple months dflprincess Oct 2020 #9
Yup. nt dflprincess Oct 2020 #8

sarisataka

(21,002 posts)
6. 'CCO also called it a toss up
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:52 PM
Oct 2020

Just yesterday.

I think we Democrats too often dismiss late polls because of early leads. We forget the race is not over until the finish and should sprint rather than jog to the end.

question everything

(48,833 posts)
7. I just got an email from Smith, titled "falling behind"
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 08:07 PM
Oct 2020

Desperately needing 493 volunteers to make calls:

"Now is not the time to take our foot off the gas — a recent poll also shows us statistically tied and we need to make sure we can reach as many voters as possible in these final days. We are in the home stretch of this ever so important race, and now we need all hands-on deck.

That’s why we’re coming to you now. We need you to step up right now and help our voter outreach efforts during these last 4 days. These efforts will be key in getting out the vote across Minnesota. Sign up now:"

https://tinaforminnesota.com/

I cannot do this but if anyone can volunteer..

dflprincess

(28,479 posts)
9. She has been sending out "falling behind" emails for at least a couple months
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 08:08 PM
Oct 2020

usually its a plea for money.

I've even gotten "falling behind" emails from Biden's campaign.

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