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moose65

(3,295 posts)
Thu Oct 27, 2022, 01:44 PM Oct 2022

NC Early Voting Update: October 27

Early voting in NC began last week, on October 20. I thought it might be interesting to compare the Early Voting numbers with 2018, the last midterm election. A day-to-day comparison wouldn't tell us much, since the days are different due to how Election Day changes, and there are usually fewer votes on weekends. So I thought a total-vote comparison and an average-votes-per-day comparison would be better:

In 2018, after 7 days of Early Voting, 692,419 votes had been cast.

In 2022, after 7 days of Early Voting, 722,543 votes have been cast. Therefore, this year we have had 30,124 more votes cast after 7 days of Early Voting.

In 2018, the average number of votes per day after 7 days of EV was 98,917.

In 2022, the average number of voters per day after 7 days of EV is 103,220, a difference of 4,303 votes per day.

Things look good so far with Early Voting. However, the biggest change is in mail-in ballots that have been received. In 2018 (in the Before Times), at this point there had been 27,520 ballots received by mail. This year, the total so far is 73,514. That's a difference of 45,994.

Source: https://carolinaelections.com/votetracker/

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NC Early Voting Update: October 27 (Original Post) moose65 Oct 2022 OP
Increases in line with population and registration increases unc70 Oct 2022 #1
Close, but not exactly moose65 Oct 2022 #3
Given the dire stakes Miguelito Loveless Oct 2022 #2
Thanks for the doom and gloom moose65 Oct 2022 #4

unc70

(6,322 posts)
1. Increases in line with population and registration increases
Thu Oct 27, 2022, 02:32 PM
Oct 2022

Population, registrations, and voters(?) increasing roughly 1% a year, 4% since 2018. (Covid dropped the population two years ago.)

moose65

(3,295 posts)
3. Close, but not exactly
Fri Oct 28, 2022, 10:31 AM
Oct 2022

According to the state board of elections web site, the number of registered voters has increased by 4.76% since October 2018.

At this point in 2018, a total of 719,939 people had voted, both by-mail and in person. If that number had just kept up with the increase in registered voters, we would expect 754,208 votes by this point. However, so far there have been 796,057 votes cast.

As far as I can see, we are running ahead by over 40,000 votes at this point.

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