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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(115,324 posts)
Sat May 21, 2022, 10:50 AM May 2022

Oregon's Kurt Schrader appears to have lost reelection to Congress

Seven-term Oregon Congressman Kurt Schrader is all but certain to lose to fellow Democrat Jamie McLeod-Skinner in his primary re-election bid, The Oregonian/OregonLive has found, making this a rare case of a member of Congress being ousted by a member of his own party.

While tens of thousands of ballots in Schrader’s home turf of Clackamas County have yet to be counted, Schrader’s expected edge in those remaining results appears too small to offset McLeod-Skinner’s commanding lead in her Central Oregon stronghold.

Clackamas County is home to nearly 45% of 5th Congressional District Democrats, and more than 30,000 of Democratic ballots there remain to be counted due to a printing error and the county clerk’s botched response to the problem. But with more than 48,000 votes tallied districtwide, McLeod-Skinner’s commanding 9,300 vote lead in Deschutes County appears insurmountable for the longtime legislator and member of Congress.

An analysis by The Oregonian/OregonLive projects that Schrader would finish with about 47% of the vote to McLeod-Skinner’s roughly 53% if current voting patterns hold. The outcome clearly will turn on the remaining votes in Clackamas County, where Schrader has so far won 55.5% of Democratic votes tallied. To eke out a victory, however, the newsroom analysis shows, he would have to win roughly 65% of Clackamas ballots still to be counted, a lopsided outcome that is widely different from the county’s pattern so far.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/oregon-s-kurt-schrader-appears-to-have-lost-reelection-to-congress/ar-AAXxx44

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Oregon's Kurt Schrader appears to have lost reelection to Congress (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin May 2022 OP
Didn't know anything about this race but took a look at some news pieces and Jamie's in2herbs May 2022 #1
Unless Schrader has a better chance in the general election? barbaraann May 2022 #3
I remember what happened in Waukesha, WI in 2011, when "missing votes" flipped a race. barbaraann May 2022 #2

in2herbs

(3,129 posts)
1. Didn't know anything about this race but took a look at some news pieces and Jamie's
Sat May 21, 2022, 12:16 PM
May 2022

campaign site and it appears that she is very pro-choice and Schrader is not. I wonder how much this position influenced the voters. I hope A LOT.

Schrader out next out should be Cuellar of TX.

barbaraann

(9,287 posts)
3. Unless Schrader has a better chance in the general election?
Sat May 21, 2022, 01:15 PM
May 2022

The 5th District is almost a tossup and the Republican candidate is a Hispanic female.
https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/168100/lori-chavez-deremer

barbaraann

(9,287 posts)
2. I remember what happened in Waukesha, WI in 2011, when "missing votes" flipped a race.
Sat May 21, 2022, 01:09 PM
May 2022

So many things in this race are anomalous that it is still BARELY possible, I think, for the results to flip.
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2011/04/08/135235107/how-did-wisconsin-miss-14-000-votes-someone-didnt-click-save

Also, if the count is dragged out long enough and there is enough doubt raised about it, could this race possibly go to the Supreme Court or somehow be invalidated?

P.S. I do know someone whose mother was a choke setter in Lane County a long time ago.

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