As usual, election fortunes come down to Greater Toronto Area (and there is a Jay's game)

[applegrove]

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-grenier-gta-oct18-1.3276166

"SNIP.............


Long before this election campaign began, the Greater Toronto Area was identified as the key battleground in deciding who would be Canada's next prime minister. This is especially so in the region outside of the city of Toronto itself, and it has not disappointed. How voters in this volatile part of the country swing is perhaps the most important question on election night.

The outlying suburbs of Toronto famously swung towards the Conservatives in 2011, helping give the party a majority government. The Conservatives won 17 of the 18 seats on offer in the area, accounting for almost half of the net gains the party made compared to the previous vote in 2008. These seats were almost single-handedly enough to make the difference between a majority and minority government.

They may yet play the same role on Monday. Recent polls have shown a robust lead for the Liberals in the region, moving away from the earlier close race between them and the Tories. The New Democrats, who started the campaign with an outside hope of a few gains in the GTA outside of Toronto, have become an afterthought, dropping from the low 20s to the high teens.

Riding polls have told the same story, and have highlighted some of the fiercest battlegrounds in the GTA. Some ridings in Mississauga, Markham and Oakville look like they will solidly go Liberal, but other ridings like Brampton Centre, Brampton North, and Mississauga–Lakeshore look like toss-ups between the Liberals and Conservatives. Decent NDP support in these two Brampton ridings in particular could play a key role in deciding the outcome.

..................SNIP"