Canada

BlueWavePsych

(3,056 posts) Thu Mar 31, 2022, 05:28 PM Mar 2022

Ontario's sixth COVID-19 wave being driven by eased restrictions, science table head says

The head of Ontario's COVID-19 Science Advisory Table says it is "very clear" that Ontario is now in the middle of a sixth wave of the pandemic driven by a relaxing of restrictions in the province.

"Oh, we're in the middle of it," Dr. Peter Juni told CP24 Tuesday night when asked whether he thinks the province is in the midst of a new wave. "When you look at our wastewater, it's very clear. You can call it whatever you want, you know; whether it’s a resurgence of the Omicron wave we had or a sixth wave, the point is really to understand this is not a BA.2 wave."

Juni estimated, based on viral levels measured in wastewater, that Ontario is currently seeing somewhere between 30,000 and 35,000 new infections per day. The real number of cases is almost impossible to measure because testing in the province has been severely scaled back.

The Ford government has been moving ahead with lifting COVID-19 restrictions in the province, with virtually all restrictions set to lift in April.

https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-s-sixth-covid-19-wave-being-driven-by-eased-restrictions-science-table-head-says-1.5841024

7 replies

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Ontario's sixth COVID-19 wave being driven by eased restrictions, science table head says (Original Post) BlueWavePsych Mar 2022 OP

gee, who could have predicted this Skittles Mar 2022 #1

I am so pissed. People should never have been encouraged to applegrove Mar 2022 #2

Don't know how Canada does it, but CDC says in USA wastewater can't be directly related to cases ... Pobeka Mar 2022 #3

Waste water detection correlates well with hospitalization not cases. BlueWavePsych Mar 2022 #4

Where is the data showing it correlates well? I don't see it. Pobeka Mar 2022 #5

Here are a few links. Enjoy. BlueWavePsych Apr 2022 #6

Thanks! nt Pobeka Apr 2022 #7

Skittles

(159,327 posts)

1. gee, who could have predicted this

Reply to BlueWavePsych (Original post)

Thu Mar 31, 2022, 05:35 PM

Mar 2022

except ANYONE with critical thinking skills

applegrove

(123,117 posts)

2. I am so pissed. People should never have been encouraged to

Reply to Skittles (Reply #1)

Thu Mar 31, 2022, 07:35 PM

Mar 2022

stop wearing masks. Grrrr.

Pobeka

(4,999 posts)

3. Don't know how Canada does it, but CDC says in USA wastewater can't be directly related to cases ...

Reply to BlueWavePsych (Original post)

Thu Mar 31, 2022, 07:45 PM

Mar 2022

... only that when more viral samples are detected in wastewater than in a previous period, it's likely covid cases are increasing, but you don't know how much per capita the increase is.

Ultimately, hospitializations are the best metric these days to know if a new wave is in a region or not.

BlueWavePsych

(3,056 posts)

4. Waste water detection correlates well with hospitalization not cases.

Reply to Pobeka (Reply #3)

Thu Mar 31, 2022, 08:54 PM

Mar 2022

Since testing is no longer done systematically, there is no way to reliably correlate waste water detection with cases.

The key is hospital capacity in a region. If enough people are vaccinated (and boosted), those requiring hospitalization are significantly decreased. As long as hospitals are not overwhelmed, I suppose that is what is meant by living with the virus ie Covid-19.

More here ... https://globalnews.ca/news/8720190/canada-6th-covid-wave-explainer/