Stephen Hawking: I'm worried about the future of the NHS

[nitpicker]

http://www.bbc.com/news/health-40967309

Stephen Hawking: I'm worried about the future of the NHS

By Nick Triggle
Health correspondent

44 minutes ago

From the section Health

Stephen Hawking says he is worried about the future of the NHS, attacking the impact of government policies and the health secretary in person. In a speech on Saturday, the Cambridge University scientist is expected to accuse Jeremy Hunt of "cherry-picking" evidence to support his policies. And he will also say he is concerned about the involvement of the private sector in the NHS in England.
(snip)

Prof Hawking, who has had motor neurone disease for most of his adult life that has impaired his movement and ability to speak, will deliver the speech at a conference at the Royal Society of Medicine in London organised to air concerns about the future of the NHS. The author of A Brief History of Time, who is a Labour supporter, will say he has been motivated to speak because of the role the health service has played in his life, saying if it was not for the NHS he "wouldn't be here today".

In the speech, Prof Hawking will list a number of occasions on which the NHS was there for him. They include an episode in 1985 when he caught pneumonia in Switzerland. Doctors there suggested his ventilator be turned off to end his life, but his wife refused and he was flown back to Addenbrooke's hospital in Cambridge where he received treatment and recovered. Fourteen years after that, he had pioneering throat reconstruction surgery in London after his condition worsened and he was struggling to eat and breathe.
(snip)

His speech is then expected to list some of the developments in the NHS that concern him, including the move towards what he calls a "US-style insurance system". He will say he believes there has been an increase in private provision of care, including the use of agency staff, that was leading to profit being extracted from the health service. "The more profit is extracted from the system, the more private monopolies grow and the more expensive healthcare becomes. The NHS must be preserved from commercial interests and protected from those who want to privatise it," he will say.

He will also say that a publicly provided, publicly run system is the "most efficient" and so those who say we cannot afford the NHS are wrong. "We cannot afford not to have the NHS," he will add.
(snip)

[elleng]

1. "The more profit is extracted from the system, the more private monopolies grow

and the more expensive healthcare becomes."

[LeftishBrit]

2. We should heed his warning

"We cannot afford not to have the NHS". True!

[SwissTony]

3. That a-hole Hunt is pissed off because he's been shown to be a liar

In his speech, Hawking will single out Hunt, who claimed that 11,000 patients a year died because of understaffing of hospitals at weekends. He will say that four of the eight studies cited by the health secretary were not peer-reviewed and that he ignored 13 papers that contradicted his statements.

“Speaking as a scientist, cherrypicking evidence is unacceptable. When public figures abuse scientific argument, citing some studies but suppressing others, to justify policies that they want to implement for other reasons, it debases scientific culture,” Hawking will say.

Dr Lauren Gavaghan, a consultant psychiatrist? whose speech about the junior doctors dispute on James O’Brien’s LBC radio show last year went viral, told the Guardian that Hunt “purposefully misinterpreted statistics from a faulty paper around NHS weekend deaths, when the authors explicitly said that to use the figures would be ‘rash and misleading’. As a consequence of this, sick people did not seek medical help at weekends.

“Subsequent research has shown his ‘analysis’ to be wrong, yet the harm has unfortunately already been done. For Jeremy Hunt to now have the audacity to dispute Professor Stephen Hawking, arguably the world’s most brilliant mind and a man who has dedicated his life to the complex analysis of data, on the interpretation of these academic papers is quite simply laughable.”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/aug/19/jeremy-hunt-says-stephen-hawking-is-wrong-on-the-nhs