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Related: About this forumUghh, Barnes (D) was neck-and-neck a few days ago (U.S. Senate, WI, running against Ron Johnson)
Barnes was neck and neck a few days ago in 538, but now it is 56-44 in simulations favoring Johnson, 3 most recent polls are for Johnson, 9/18 920 AM ET visit,
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/wisconsin/
Edit: I'm no 538 methodology expert, but this isn't the same as the odds of winning ... the most recent polls (all favoring Johnson unfortunately) are Johnson +4, Johnson +1, Johnson +1. Following a string of polls favoring Barnes ( +2, +7, +4, +2)
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538 Still shows this the closest of the Senate races.
Scroll half way down the page to the table
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo
There's a DU link to contribute: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/duforbarnes22
GreenWave
(9,189 posts)progree
(11,463 posts)since I've been following it at 538 (just 3 weeks), what am I missing? Thanks
jimfields33
(18,895 posts)It happens but not as much as wed like. Hopefully this will be a win for us.Im not 100 percent sure of Wisconsin voting habits.
Lovie777
(15,009 posts)majority of the polling outfits are run by Republicans.
Now if Barnes wins, Johnson will claim voter fraud.
Raven123
(6,048 posts)padfun
(1,856 posts)The 56-44 is percentage of winning, not how many are voting for him. This is a normal percentage when a lead is one point, say 51-49.
In sports, a 56-44 percentage is almost a toss-up.
Fiendish Thingy
(18,522 posts)mucifer
(24,838 posts)Win independents and moderate republicans with hate.
The immigration issue now is soooo ugly and the criminal city violence crap they are spewing also works. I wish it didnt.
Response to progree (Original post)
PortTack This message was self-deleted by its author.
LakeArenal
(29,804 posts)Yes indeed we can. Thanks.
PortTack
(34,651 posts)The polling is a mystery..why he would start out so strong and suffer this reversal. Didnt the same happen when Russ Feingold ran?
LakeArenal
(29,804 posts)Ron Johnson is a Russian asshat.
Koch boys started buying WI government before any other State.
We warned the US that they would come for them too but lots of people liked to claim, WI got what it voted for. Did we?
When we tried the recall against Walker the DNC gave us nothing. While Walker was highly funded.
The hatred of Hillary was a major goal of Republicans. It worked.