Which US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 are key in Democrats being in the majority?

[nkpolitics1212]

Democrats are strongly favored.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)

US Senate seats that the Democrats are slightly favored to win
50)NV(Cortez-Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

Does the fact that Tim Ryan worked for the infamous Jim Traficant hurt him or would it be hypocritical for Republicans to bring it up?
Ryan got elected to the US House in 2022 by defeating a pro free trade Democratic US House Member Tom Sawyer in the primary. Before Traficant’s scandals, Sawyer was supposed to face Traficant in the primary.

[bucolic_frolic]

1. Things still have to fall right for us

I'm most worried about Cortez-Masto simply because there's some doubt, and there shouldn't be.

Fetterman will be closed than expected.

Ryan? We never win Ohio. Anything in Ohio. Did we cede the state as part of a secret power share in the 1990s? Ryan can't put Vance away? Something's going on that I'm not understanding.

[nkpolitics1212]

2. I expect KellyAZ and FettermanPA to win by a narrow margin due to the Republican nominee being weak.

WarnockGA will win in the General Election runoff like he did in 2022.
I will focus my attention to NC. OPEN seat/Swing State/Democratic nominee former Chief Justice to the NC State Supreme Court Cheri Beasley got more votes than any Democratic nominee for statewide office despite losing by 400 votes.
In WI, we have to hope that Barnes runs a much stronger campaign than Russ Feingold.