Campaigns
Related: About this forumHow many more Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 will not seek re-election in 2024?
1)Statenow(MI) is not seeking re-election voluntarily. Slotkin is likely going to be the Democratic nominee for Stabenows MI US Senate seat and Former MI State Senator Curtis Hertel Jr. of Lansing,MI(MI-23) is likely going to be the Democratic nominee for Slotkins MI-7 US House seat. MI-23 was previously represented by Gretchen Whitmer. Hertel Jr. had to step down last year(2022) due to term limits.
2)Sinema(AZ) will be forced to step down. Sinema will come in 3rd place with less than 5 percent of the popular vote in the November General Election. Gallego will be the Democratic nominee and will win the November General Election by a narrow margin.
3)Feinstein(CA) will be forced to step down. Feinstein will come in 3rd place in the open blanket primary after Porter and Schiff.
4)Cardin(MD) will retire due to his length of service in elected office.(20 years in the MD State House of Representatives including 8 years as House Speaker), (20 years in the US House of Representatives), and (18 years in the US Senate when we get to 2024). Cardin is over 80 years old. US Representatives Sarbanes and Raskin will be the frontrunners for the 2024 MD US Senate Election. Sarbanes and Raskin will be great partners to Chris Van Hollen, the other MD US Senator.
5)Sanders(VT) will retire due to his age and length of service. (8 years as Mayor of Burlington,VT), (16 years in the US House of Representatives) and (18 years in the US Senate when we get to 2024.) US Representative Becca Balint will be the front runner.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)1. MICHIGAN: SLOTKIN will become Senator Slotkin. She's pitch perfect.
2. ARIZONA: GALLEGO will become Senator Gallego. He's pitch perfect.
3. CALIFORNIA: SCHIFF will become Senator Schiff. He's pitch perfect. African Americans will support whoever Feinstein endorses and she's gonna endorse the fabulous Rep Adam Schiff.
4. MARYLAND: SARBANES will become Senator Sarbanes. He's pitch perfect.
5.VERMONT: Balint will become Senator Balint. She's pitch perfect.
I love Katie Porter and adore Jamie Raskin. Both are true for the people champions. With that said, I based my picks on how people vote based on how people FEEL when they look at the candidate and/or see and hear the candidate speak.
If we want to win to save our democracy support the winners while loving and respecting any Democrat courageous enough to throw their hat in the ring.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)Last edited Sat Jan 14, 2023, 07:39 PM - Edit history (1)
Raskin is the ranking minority member of the US House Oversight and Reform Committee. If Democrats are favored to regain control of the US House in 2024, Raskin will seek re-election to his MD-8 US House seat in order to become chairman of the US House Oversight and Reform Committee in order to reverse most of the actions current US House Oversight and Reform Committee chairman James Comer(KY) have made or going to make under direct order from Kevin McCarthy.
Sarbanes, the other MD US House member considering a run for the US Senate will perform well in-
Prince Georges 85 percent of the popular vote.
Baltimore City 85 percent of the popular vote.
Montgomery 75 percent of the popular vote.
Howard 75 percent of the popular vote
Charles 65 percent of the popular vote.
Baltimore 65 percent of the popular vote
Anne Arundel 55 percent of the popular vote
Frederick 55 percent of the popular vote
plus Eastern Shore Counties
Kent 45 to 50 percent of the popular vote
Talbot 45 to 50 percent of the popular vote
Wicomico 45 to 50 percent of the popular vote
Sarbanes will win the Eastern Shore MD Counties, I have listed, Raskin will not.
MD Counties the Republican will carry.
Calvert 45 to 50 percent of the popular vote.
Harford 40 to 45 percent of the popular vote.
Dorchester 40 to 45 percent of the popular vote.
St Marys 40 to 45 percent of the popular vote.
Somerset 40 to 45 percent of the popular vote.
Worcester 35 to 40 percent of the popular vote.
Washington 35 to 40 percent of the popular vote.
Carroll 35 to 40 percent of the popular vote.
Queen Annes 35 to 40 percent of the popular vote.
Cecil 35 to 40 percent of the popular vote.
Caroline 30 to 35 percent of the popular vote.
Allegany 25 to 30 percent of the popular vote.
Garrett 20 to 25 percent of the popular vote.