The Tossup US Senate Elections in 2024 are MT,OH,and TX.
MT and OH slightly leans Democrat due to the Democratic nominee(Tester-MT and Brown-OH) being incumbents and the likely Republican nominee(Sheehy-MT and Moreno-OH) being Todd Akin lite(Todd Akin’s view on abortion and god caused him to lose the 2012 MO US Senate Election to Claire McCaskill-D) Sheehy-MT and Moreno-OH are both corrupt and crazy. I put MT and OH in the Tossup/Tilt Democratic column due to MT and OH Republican lean.
TX slightly leans Republican right now because TX is a lean Republican state at the Federal and State level. However The Democratic nominee-Colin Allred is an excellent nominee. Allred could make the 2024 TX US Senate Race into a Tossup/Tilt Democratic.
The Lean Democratic US Senate Elections in 2024 are AZ,MI,NV,PA and WI. Democrats will win those elections by a single digit margin. AZ,MI,NV,PA,and WI are tilt Democratic states at the Presidential Level , the Democratic US Senate nominee(Gallego-AZ,Slotkin-MI,Rosen-NV,Casey-PA,and Baldwin-WI) are outstanding. The likely Republican US Senate Nominee in those states are unknown or unfit.
The Lean Republican US Senate Elections in 2024 are FL and MO.FL is a Lean Republican state and the Democratic nominee is unknown(How would Nikki Fried do as the Democratic nominee?) MO is a likely Republican state but the likely Democratic nominee(Lucas Kunce) is outstanding.
The Likely Democratic US Senate Elections in 2024 are NJ and VA. Menendez-NJ and Kaine-VA will win by a low double digit margin.
The Likely Republican US Senate Election in 2024 is WV. Manchin’s incumbency is preventing the 2024 WV US Senate Election from being Safe Republican.
The safe Democratic US Senate Elections in 2024 are
CA(Schiff-D vs Porter-D or Lee-D) in the November General election.
CT(Murphy-D is a popular incumbent in a safe Democratic state.)Unknown Republican nominee.
DE(Blunt Rochester-D is a popular statewide elected official and DE is Biden’s home state)Unknown Republican nominee.
HI(Hirono-D is a popular incumbent in a safe Democratic state.)Unknown Republican nominee.
ME(King-I is a popular incumbent and Republican nominee is unknown.)
MD(Safe Democratic state, Excellent Democratic nominee Angela Alsobrooks or Jamie Raskin(if he chooses to run,sacrificial lamb Republican nominee(Larry Hogan,Boyd Rutherford,and Michael Steele are unlikely to run.)
MA(Warren-D is a popular incumbent in a safe Democratic state.)
MN(Klobuchar-D is a popular incumbent in a lean Democratic state.)
NM(Heinrich-D is a popular incumbent in a likely Democratic state.)
NY(Gillibrand-D is a popular incumbent in a safe Democratic state.)
RI(Whitehouse-D is a popular incumbent in a safe Democratic state.)
VT(Safest Democratic state and Phil Scott-R unlikely to leave the Governorship to become a US Senator) Waiting to see what Bernie Sanders does.
WA(Cantwell-D is a popular Democratic incumbent in a safe Democratic state.)
Safe Republican US Senate Elections in 2024 are IN,MS,both NE seats,ND,TN,UT,and WY.