What is more likely to happen? Democrats holding on to the GA US Senate seats in 2026 and 2028?
Republicans holding onto both NC US Senate seats in 2026 and 2028?
In GA-2026(Ossoff-D defeats anyone but Kemp-R/Kemp-R vs Ossoff-D is a Tossup.)
In NC-2026(Tillis-R loses to Cooper-D,Jackson-D,and Nickel-D)
The Republican US House members in GA represent
R+8(GA-12-Allen-R)
R+9(GA-1-Carter-R)
R+11(GA-6-McCormick-R and GA-11-Loudermilk-R)
R+15(GA-10-Collins-R)
R+16(GA-8-Scott-R)
R+18(GA-3-Ferguson-R)
R+22(GA-9-Clyde-R and GA-14-Taylor Greene-R)
All of the Republican US House members in GA represent safe Republican US House Districts.
The Democratic US House members in NC represent
R+2(NC-13-Nickel-D)
D+2(NC-1-Davis-D)
D+4(NC-6- Manning-D)
D+6(NC-14-Jackson-D)
NC-2(Ross-D)D+12,NC-4(Foushee-D)D+16,and NC-12(Adams-D)D+13 are in safe Democratic US House Districts.
In 2028 GA(Warnock-D wins due general election due to higher minority voter turnout in a presidential election year.)
GA-2020 special
32.90
6.60/39.50
2.77/42.27
2.17/44.44
1.92/46.36
0.91/47.27
0.58/47.85
0.54/48.39
Green
0.31/48.70
Independent
0.37/49.07
0.30/49.37
0.27/49.64
0.27/49.91
Libertarian
0.72/50.63
In the 2021 Runoff Election Warnock got 51.04 percent of the popular vote.
In the 2022 Regular Election Warnock got 49.44 percent of the popular vote.
In the 2022 Runoff Election Warnock got 51.40 percent of the popular vote.
Ossoff-D and Warnock-D can narrowly win over 50 percent of the popular vote to avoid a runoff.
In 2020 Regular vote Ossoff-D trailed Perdue-R 47.95-49.73.
In 2020 Runoff vote Ossoff-D defeated Perdue-R 50.61-49.39.
In 2028 NC(Budd-R needs anyone but Nickel-D or Jackson-D to survive.)