10 US Senate seats up for re-election in 2020 that are likely to flip.

[nkpolitics1212]

1)AL(Jones-D)Tuberville-R(-1D/+1R)46D 54R
2)CO(Gardner-R)Hickenlooper-D(+1D/-1R)47D 53R
3)AZ special(McSally-R)Kelly-D(+1D/-1R)48D 52R
4)ME(Collins-R)Gideon-D(+1D/-1R)49D 51R
5)NC(Tillis-R)Cunningham-D(+1D/-1R)50D 50R
6)MT(Daines-R)Bullock-D(+1D/-1R)51D 49R
7)IA(Ernst-R)Greenfield-D(+1D/-1R)52D 48R
8)GA regular(Perdue-R)Ossoff-D(+1D/-1R)53D 47R
9)KS(OPEN Roberts-R)Bollier-D(+1D/-1R)54D 46R
10)KY(McConnell-R)McGrath-D(+1D/-1R)55D 45R

[rpannier]

2. Hate to say, but Kentucky is 0.00000002 chance at best of flipping

In 2014, there was a displaced belief McConnell would lose. He won and won rather substantially, by about 16%. Though Grimes has herself to blame for saying she wouldn't say who she voted for in 2012.

McConnell may be unpopular, but that doesn't change that he will get more votes. Right now, polling has Trump up in KY over Biden by 20 and McConnell ahead by the same number.

The Georgia special election is probably a better chance to take a seat

Alaska will be fun to watch (maybe), polling has Sullivan up by 5 and both he and Gross (D) are polling under 40%: 39 Sullivan, 34 Gross. Unfortunately, undecideds approve of Trump by +26

[nkpolitics1212]

3. What about TX(Hegar-D vs Cornyn-R)?

This is assuming Biden-D wins the popular vote in TX.

[rpannier]

4. Possible

Cornyn is at 43% and Hegar is at 33%
He's a little better positioned for re-election, I think, than Sullivan is in Alaska
Sullivan is just completing his first term, so I think that makes Cornyn more likely to win than Sullivan
Right now, Biden is up by 2 in Texas. There'd have to be some real changes in people's minds about Cornyn and vote for Hegar
Possible, but I still think Alaska is a better chance.
Sullivan's seat was held by a Democrat before him

[denem]

5. Henry Cuellar thinks Hegar is not up to the job.

He fundraised against her in favor of John Carter (R) in TX-31. Hegar lost 47.7 - 50.6.