Maximum number of US Senate seats that the Democrats are likely to win in 2022.

[nkpolitics1212]

37)HI(Schatz-D) is likely to defeat whoever is going to be the Republican nominee.
38)NY(Schumer-D) is likely to defeat whoever is going to be the Republican nominee.
39)CA(Padilla-D) is likely to defeat whoever he faces in the November General Election.
40)CT(Blumenthal-D) is likely to defeat whoever is going to be the Republican nominee.
41)MD(Van Hollen-D) is likely to defeat whoever is going to be the Republican nominee.
42)WA(Murray-D) is likely to defeat who ever is going to be the Republican nominee.
43)IL(Duckworth-D) is likely to defeat whoever is going to be the Republican nominee.
44)VT(Leahy-D or Donovan-D) are likely to defeat Scott-R and Milne-R.
45)OR(Wyden-D) is likely to defeat Rae Perkins-R.
46)CO(Bennet-D) is likely to defeat Gardner-R, Glenn-R, and Neville-R.
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D) is likely to defeat Laxalt-R and Hutchinson-R.
48)AZ(Kelly-D) is likely to defeat Biggs-R and Gosar-R.
49)GA(Warnock-D) is likely to defeat Loeffler-R, Collins-R, and Walker-R.
50)PA(Fetterman-D) is likely to defeat whoever is going to be the Republican nominee.
51)NH(Hassan-D) is likely to defeat Sununu-R, Ayotte-R and Bolduc-R.
52)WI(Lasry-D,Kind-D, or Godlewski-D) are likely to defeat Johnson-R and Nicholson-R.
53)NC(Jackson-D) is likely to defeat Walker-R.
54)OH(Ryan-D) is likely to defeat Timken-R.
55)IA(Axne-D or Finkenauer-D) are likely to defeat Chuck and Pat Grassley-R and Carlin-R.
56)MO(Sifton-D) is likely to defeat Schmitt-R.
57)FL(S. Murphy-D) is likely to defeat Rubio-R.

[jimfields33]

1. We thought the same in 2020.

Some of those on the bottom look good though.

[nkpolitics1212]

2. Realistically, FL and MO will stay in the Republican column.

FL- Rubio-R is a fairly strong incumbent, Top tier Democrats will run for Governor against Desantis-R or wait until 2024 to run for the US Senate against Scott-R.
MO- is fairly a strong Republican state.
IA- Likely Democratic candidates Cindy Axne-D and Abby Finkenauer-D are strong candidate against the Grassleys-R and Carlin-R. They need to do well in IA-1,IA,-2, and IA-3 Congressional Districts.
OH- Likely Democratic candidate Tim Ryan-D is a strong candidate against whoever the Republican nominee.
NC- Likely Democratic nominee Jeff Jackson-D is a strong candidate against Likely Republican nominee Mark Walker-R.
WI- Alex Lasry-D, Ron Kind-D, Sarah Godlewski-D, Josh Kaul-D and Mandela Barnes-D are likely to defeat Johnson-R or whoever becomes the Republican nominee if Johnson-R retires.
NH- Maggie Hassan-D narrowly defeats Chris Sununu-R. In 2016, public opinion polls in 2015 had Hassan-D trailing Kelly Ayotte-R by a narrow to high single digit margin. Hassan-D defeated Ayotte-R by a narrow margin.
Rest of the US Senate seats listed, The Democrats are favored to win.

[jimfields33]

3. Great overview

In reality, we will have 52 or 53 seats. Which will allow us to pass a lot more bills.

[nkpolitics1212]

4. 52 or 53 seats is -

Winning all of the Democratic held seats up for re-election in 2022 except NH- assuming Sununu-R is the Republican nominee. 49 or 50 seats.
We then have to win 3 Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022.
PA,WI,and NC.
PA,NC,and OH.

PA- John Fetterman-D
OH- Tim Ryan-D
NC- Jeff Jackson-D
WI- Democratic candidates likely to win the November General Election-
Ron Kind-D
Josh Kaul-D
Sarah Godlewski-D
Mandela Barnes-D
Either of these candidates enter the race and/or Ron Johnson-R retires.

[jimfields33]

5. I think PA-NC and WI

I don’t think Ohio is blue enough yet. But soon I hope.