Which US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 is the Democrats 50th seat? GA or PA?

[nkpolitics1212]

In 11/2022, Democrats are going to win-
37)CA(Padilla-D faces another D(Horton-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D) or GA(Warnock-D gets over 50% in 11/2022.

NV,AZ,and PA are the 3 seats that the Democrats will narrowly win in 2022 to retain control of the US Senate.
Democrats need to worry about GA in the runoff.

[doc03]

1. How does it look for Portmans seat in Ohio?

[nkpolitics1212]

2. Portman's OH US Senate seats is the Democrats 54th US Senate seat.

Democrats are going to win
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48/49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)/AZ(Kelly-D)
50/51) GA(Warnock-D)/PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

Portman’s OH US Senate seat is a Democratic win if 2022 is a Democratic wave election year and the Republican nominee makes a lot of gaffes.

Sherrod Brown-D won 3 US Senate Elections in OH.
1)2006(Democratic wave election year against a sitting Republican incumbent who is now Governor-Mike DeWine-R. Brown-D won by a 12 percent margin.)
2)2012(Presidential Election year against Mandel-R by a 6 percent margin. Obama-D carried OH in 2012 by a single digit margin.)
3)2018(Neutral off year Election year by a 6 percent year against Jim Rennacci-R)
4)2024 OH US Senate Election is too close to call.

[doc03]

3. Tim Ryan would be a big win for us, he might pull it

off if he is up against the Trump pick.