Democratic Nominee for the 2028 US Senate Elections in
AZ(Kelly-D loses re-election in 2022)
Greg Stanton-D or Ruben Gallego-D
CO(Bennet-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Joe Neguse-D or Jason Crow-D(Jared Polis is most likely to run in 2026 to succeed Hickenlooper-D.)
CT(Blumenthal-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Jahana Hayes-D.
GA(Warnock-D loses re-election in 2022)
Stacy Abrams-D or Lucy McBath-D or Nikema Williams.
NV(Cortez Masto-D loses re-election in 2022)
Steve Horsford-D
NY(Schumer-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Antonio Delgado-D or AOC.
OR(Wyden-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Shemia Fagan-D(OR SOS completing her 2nd term in 2028.) or Tobias Read-D(current OR Governor or former OR Treasurer.)
WA(Murray-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Pramila Jayapal-D or Kim Schrier-D
If Democrats don’t win Republican held US Senate seats in FL,NC,OH,PA,and WI.
FL(Darren Soto-D).
NC(Clay Aiken-D)
OH(Shontel Brown-D)
PA(Brendan Boyle-D)
WI(Josh Kaul-D)
= new reply since forum marked as read
Four elections ahead?
Notably, house members in general will be fairly likely to lose or leave their seats over the 3 intervening elections, especially any who don't reflect the views of the majority of the constituents.
They'd then, of course, have to prevail in the fourth, the 2028 Democratic primary. And there's a trick. Senate candidates have to prevail with statewide electorates, not district constituencies. Bernie Sanders might seem to suggest this moderating effect can be different, but VT's a special situation that actually kind of proves the point. Besides being a small white state, a significant portion of their Republicans have been voting to keep a socialist Independent in office who they apparently feel keeps them satisfied more than a Democrat would.
Meanwhile, incumbent senators have their own ideas, including our senate majority leader (!), and new stars have been rising.
