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US Senate seats that Democrats are likely to win in 2022 if 2022 is a Republican wave year.
Democrats will hold onto-
AZ(Kelly-D) Lean
CA(Becerra-D) Safe
CO(Bennet-D) Likely
CT(Blumenthal-D) Safe
HI(Schatz-D) Safe
IL(Duckworth-D) Safe
MD(Van Hollen-D) Safe
NY(Schumer-D) Safe
OR(Wyden-D) Safe
VT(Leahy-D or Donovan-D) Safe
WA(Murray-D) Safe
Democrats will pick up
PA(OPEN Toomey-R/Shapiro-D)Tilt
Democrats will lose
GA(Warnock-D)assuming he is the incumbent.
NV(Cortez Masto-D)if Sandoval-R is the GOP challenger.
NH(Hassan-D)if Chris Sununu-R is the GOP challenger.
2021-2022
Democrats will have 48 to 50 US Senate seats depending on what happens in GA.
2022
Democrats will have 47 to 48 US Senate seats.