Congress
Related: About this forumUS Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that are likely to change political parties.
Democratic to Republican
AZ(Kelly-D vs Ducey-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Sandoval-R)
NH(Hassan-D vs Sununu-R)
Republican to Democratic
PA(OPEN Toomey-R/Shapiro-D)
NC(OPEN Burr-R/Stein-D)
WI(Johnson-R/Kaul-D)
FL(Rubio-R/Crist-D)
IA(OPEN Grassley-R/Vilsack-D)
OH(Portman-R vs Ryan-D)
The winner of the 2020 GA US Senate special election.
GA(Loeffler-R vs Warnock-D) rematch
GA(Loeffler-R vs Ossoff-D)
GA(Warnock-D vs Perdue-R)
GA(Warnock-D vs Collins-R)
BainsBane
(54,759 posts)I don't know how you can claim to know how they will trend two years out, particularly since we don't even know who the opposition nominees will be.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)Vulnerable Democratic
AZ(Kelly-D) if Ducey-R is the GOP Nominee.
NV(Cortez Masto-D) if Sandoval-R is the GOP Nominee.
NH(Hassan-D) if Sununu-R is the GOP Nominee.
AZ,NV,and NH are battleground states with Current or Former Governors as the GOP challengers.
Democrats are safe in CA(whoever Newsom appoints-D),CO(Bennet-D),CT(Blumenthal-D),HI(Schatz-D),IL(Duckworth-D),MD(Van Hollen-D),NY(Schumer-D),OR(Wyden-D),VT(Leahy-D),and WA(Murray-D).
These are strong Democratic states.
Vulnerable Republican
PA(OPEN Toomey-R)
NC(OPEN Burr-R)
WI(Johnson-R)
FL(Rubio-R)
OH(Portman-R)
IA(if OPEN Grassley-R/Vilsack-D is the Democratic Nominee.)
PA,NC,WI,FL,OH,and IA are battleground states with top tier Democratic challengers.
The GA US Senate seat(Loeffler-R vs Warnock-D).
BainsBane
(54,759 posts)which is highly unlikely, to say the least. Iowa is no longer a battleground state, nor is Florida. And Burr will likely have his seat back if he wants it. I think we can classify your list as wishful thinking.