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mahatmakanejeeves

(60,969 posts)
Sat Jun 11, 2022, 06:25 AM Jun 2022

A severe recession is possible, economic expert warns

Yahoo Finance

A severe recession is possible, economic expert warns

Brian Sozzi · Anchor, Editor-at-Large
Fri, June 10, 2022, 11:25 AM · 3 min read

Dust off your recession preparation handbook you used back in 2008-2009 as the setup exists for a severe recession not too far off in the future, warns one business cycle expert.

"The job market is pretty tight, so therefore this could mean a mild recession. I don't think that's knowable just yet. One of the things that we are seeing from our research — because we do look at 22 economies around the world — is that there is a setup for a more severe recession. A more international recession. The last time we had that would have been like the early 1980s," Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) co-founder Lakshman Achuthan said on Yahoo Finance Live.

Signs of a brewing recession aren't too hard to spot right now. ... For one, headline-grabbing layoffs are on the rise.

E-commerce site Stitch Fix (SFIX) said Thursday it will axe 15% of its corporate workforce as it deals with a slowdown in sales and increased losses. E-signature software company DocuSign (DOCU) said this week it would slow the pace of hiring. Electric scooter player Bird (BRDS) announced this week it would lay off 23% of its workforce as it clamps down on expenses.

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A severe recession is possible, economic expert warns (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves Jun 2022 OP
It is a recession if you keep your job, a depression if you don't. Chainfire Jun 2022 #1
Thanks to Putin, Big Biz greed, and the Fed peppertree Jun 2022 #2
Inflation, Inflation, Inflation bucolic_frolic Jun 2022 #3

bucolic_frolic

(47,003 posts)
3. Inflation, Inflation, Inflation
Sat Jun 11, 2022, 06:47 PM
Jun 2022

Just watch this recent interview with two of the world's most prominent investment managers. I can't think of a better use of an hour. Dalio is tedious to watch but looks at economic cycles, and Grantham especially the last 15 minutes looks forward to see where the world is going. Both argue for assets that beat inflation, and Grantham sees green food, green energy as particularly ripe for growth in a world of scarce resources. Dalio sees a world of conflict and peril for debt assets. Cash is trash, prepare for inflation!



Ray Dalio and GMO's Jeremy Grantham on How They're Seeing the World Right Now
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