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58Sunliner

(5,189 posts)
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 08:35 PM Jan 20

I wonder if the market is going to fall tomorrow.

Seriously thinking about selling my one major stock position. I can't see the market responding well to what he has done today.

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I wonder if the market is going to fall tomorrow. (Original Post) 58Sunliner Jan 20 OP
I wouldn't react quickly. elleng Jan 20 #1
Majority of my acct is cash right now. I'm looking to lock in profits and buy back lower. 58Sunliner Jan 20 #5
Futures just took a big dump - I think so. jmbar2 Jan 20 #2
I moved my money out of stocks etc several weeks ago when it was higher FloridaBlues Jan 20 #3
I moved my majority out of stocks also. Last time he was pres the market crashed. 58Sunliner Jan 20 #6
I feel the same way that's why I'm selling house. I want to keep my money FloridaBlues Jan 20 #12
Good luck if it's in Florida. I see a lot of Florida plates here in RVA, but I don't know the market there. 58Sunliner Jan 20 #13
As of 8:41 PM ET, his coin was down to about $31. John1956PA Jan 20 #4
I hope Tesla takes a big dump. 58Sunliner Jan 20 #7
Unfortunately we have to watch them... Lovie777 Jan 20 #8
You don't have to unless the tax burden will be an issue. 58Sunliner Jan 20 #9
I think the stock market will be the only thing that does well under trump. jg10003 Jan 20 #10
It will do well dhol82 Jan 20 #11
Have you considered foreign currency? 58Sunliner Jan 20 #14
Cash may be king. If there is a brief period of hyperinflation it will be quickly followed by recession, I think Bernardo de La Paz Jan 21 #16
You should make this a post. 58Sunliner Jan 21 #17
Funny happenstance: last 3 digits of SP500 are 6.66 Bernardo de La Paz Jan 21 #15
Did not sell. The fool said we are going to Mars so RKLB is up 28%. 58Sunliner Jan 21 #18
The very fact that the market remains at an all-time high, PoindexterOglethorpe Jan 23 #19
Corporate America is hiving off so much value from workers bucolic_frolic Jan 26 #20

58Sunliner

(5,189 posts)
5. Majority of my acct is cash right now. I'm looking to lock in profits and buy back lower.
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 08:44 PM
Jan 20

It's a risk. I will be up early!

jmbar2

(6,560 posts)
2. Futures just took a big dump - I think so.
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 08:38 PM
Jan 20

However, if you wait, might be a good opportunity to average down your cost basis.

FloridaBlues

(4,450 posts)
3. I moved my money out of stocks etc several weeks ago when it was higher
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 08:43 PM
Jan 20

After I sell my house my money will not go back into the market. It’s too nerve racking for me but that’s just me.

58Sunliner

(5,189 posts)
6. I moved my majority out of stocks also. Last time he was pres the market crashed.
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 08:45 PM
Jan 20

I sold at highs and use t-bills. I am also selling a property. Very unsure of what will happen here and I want to be mobile.

58Sunliner

(5,189 posts)
13. Good luck if it's in Florida. I see a lot of Florida plates here in RVA, but I don't know the market there.
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 09:57 PM
Jan 20

I am worried about the housing market in general. I think many are nervous about committing long term to one place right now.

58Sunliner

(5,189 posts)
9. You don't have to unless the tax burden will be an issue.
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 08:54 PM
Jan 20

I couldn't sell last time he was pres and I rode it down when the market fell, rode it back up again, but it took 3 years.

jg10003

(1,033 posts)
10. I think the stock market will be the only thing that does well under trump.
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 08:58 PM
Jan 20

The stock market is crucial to musk, bezos, and company. Trump won't do anything to risk the oligarchy's major source of wealth.

dhol82

(9,501 posts)
11. It will do well
Mon Jan 20, 2025, 09:40 PM
Jan 20

At least for a while. After the economy goes bye bye it will crash.
Have no idea where to park cash. If we go into hyperinflation all bets are off.

Bernardo de La Paz

(52,608 posts)
16. Cash may be king. If there is a brief period of hyperinflation it will be quickly followed by recession, I think
Tue Jan 21, 2025, 09:25 AM
Jan 21

Short term: tariffs raise prices and consumers pay them because they haven't fully factored it in because until it happens, the date and the targets and the amounts are uncertain. If you planned to get a washer, you either need a washer or have it mostly budgeted for, even if prices immediately go up even for American assembled goods that use 10 to 30% of foreign parts (not uncommon). And prices go up even on 100% American made because suddenly there is headroom to raise prices against tariffed foreign products.

Medium to long term: Trade wars are inevitable even if tRump only goes average of say 15%. And since he is threatening across all products and all countries (three of them prominent), it will be a broad trade war, which will send US international trade spiraling down. That means job cuts, which means a tightening economy. Even though the Fed would lower interest rates to stimulate the economy, the stock markets would become bearish because they would turn to fearing economic contraction more than loving rate cuts. Stock market now is a two year old bull, which is beginning to get a bit old (three is the upper end, I think) and is only a little above the close of Nov 5.

This all comes on top of mass deportations which will create disruptions in supply chains, esp food, and lead to shortages and higher prices generally. There might even be economic contraction along with enough inflation so that profits go down even as prices hover around zero increase or even prices rises.

Disruption and turmoil as forces raising prices (tariffs, labour shortages) compete with forces lowering prices and values (job losses, reduced consumer demand).

The classic adage about deflation which accompanies recessions and depressions is that "cash is king". If you have cash, consider sitting on it for one or two or three years, depending how things go. There might be stock bargains by then.

Just my opinion, no expertise. I'm 85% bonds, 15% cash right now.

Bernardo de La Paz

(52,608 posts)
15. Funny happenstance: last 3 digits of SP500 are 6.66
Tue Jan 21, 2025, 09:03 AM
Jan 21

On Friday January 17, 2025, by chance, the S&P 500 index closed at 5,996.66.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(27,173 posts)
19. The very fact that the market remains at an all-time high,
Thu Jan 23, 2025, 02:52 PM
Jan 23

and has remained so says something.

Plus, trying to time the market is, and has always been, a fool's game. Buy good stocks/mutual funds and for the most part hang on to them.

Me, I have an excellent advisor I've been with some two decades, and I have done extremely well with him over the years.

bucolic_frolic

(48,651 posts)
20. Corporate America is hiving off so much value from workers
Sun Jan 26, 2025, 06:46 AM
Jan 26

There is no place to hide except in stocks. If you play it right, you save and invest more and more, and then eventually you can retire when your investments pay more than the job you've been booted out of.

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